Iran Gold Imports Surge - 1.2 Billion USD Of Precious Metals From Turkey in April Alone
Goldcore Bullion and Wealth Management Company |
Jun. 5, 2012, 7:51 AM
Gold rose 3.85% or $60.10 in New York on Friday and closed at $1,622.20/oz. Gold fell fractionally in Asia but has gradually been ticking up in Europe (low $1,612 and high $1,623).
Gold continues to consolidate above $1,600/oz after its 4% surge Friday on the appalling jobs number which led to a 3% gain for the week.
Gold again showed its safe haven status on Friday and for the week. Gold had its biggest daily percentage gain in more than three years and its 3% gain last week contrasted with the S&P being down by 3% for the week and other stock markets were down by more.
Euro gold surged Friday and is back above €1,300/oz and the record high of €1,375/oz looks set to be challenged again in the coming weeks after the period of consolidation seen since last September (see chart).
Global gold demand continues to surprise to the upside – especially sizeable demand from the Middle East and China.
全球黃金需求繼續帶來驚喜往上方 - 尤其是來自中東和中國的龐大需求。
Confirmation of continuing huge demand in China came yesterday with data showing that Hong Kong shipped 101,768 kilograms of gold to mainland China in April, up 62% on the month - marking the second-highest monthly exports ever.
昨天來了繼續的中國巨大需求確認，數據顯示香港在四月將101,768公斤黃金運往中國大陸，月計上升62％ - 標誌著有史以來第二最高的月度出口。
While demand from India continues it has fallen from the record levels recently but demand from other Asian countries is robust with reports of demand in Thailand, Vietnam, Malaysia and Indonesia.
A new and potentially significant source of demand is that of demand from Iran.
一項新和潛在重大的需求來源是那來自伊朗的需求。
Iran imported a massive $1.2 billion worth of precious metals from Turkey in April alone.
伊朗僅在4月份就從土耳其進口價值12億美元的大量貴金屬。
Turkish exports of gold, precious metals, pearls and coins to Iran rose to $1.2 billion in April from a tiny $7,500 a year earlier, according to figures released by the state statistics institute in Ankara yesterday.
土耳其向伊朗出口黃金、貴金屬、珍珠及錢幣，從一年前微小的$ 7,500上升至4月份的12億美元，根據昨天由安卡拉的國家統計研究所公佈的數字。
This is a massive increase in demand and suggests that there may be official involvement in the imports from the Central Bank of Iran.
這是一項大量增加的需求，和提出可能有來自伊朗中央銀行的官方參與進口。
This trend continued in May when Turkish gold imports leapt by 150% in May due to unrelenting demand from sanction strapped Iran.
Turkey imported 19.47 tonnes of gold in May, up from 7.78 tonnes in April, according to data released by the Istanbul Gold Exchange on Friday.
Foreign trade data showed Turkey earned $1.27 billion from exports of 23.9 tonnes of gold in April, dwarfing the $75.4 million earned from sales of 1.65 tonnes last year. Some 95 percent of the total gold exports went to Iran in April.
Turkey's gold imports in the first five months of the year totalled 35.18 tonnes, compared with 79.70 tonnes in 2011 and 42.49 tonnes in 2010.
Some of the increase was also attributable to the onset of the wedding season and regional tensions related to the 14-month-old uprising in neighbouring Syria. Although, official buying from Syria is not suspected.
The export data showed Iranian buying from Turkish gold traders has been the crucial factor.
XAU/EUR 1 Year Currency Chart –(Bloomberg)
Sanctions to force Iran to curb its nuclear programme have targeted its energy and banking sectors and new measures from both the United States and European Union take effect in July.
Indeed, Iran was prohibited from using the global payments system, SWIFT, by the US.
Iran announced last week that it has designed and implemented a replacement for the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication (SWIFT,) which facilitates the bulk of global cross-border payments. SWIFT cut off Iranian banks blacklisted by the European Union over Tehran's nuclear program in March after an EU order and pressure from the United States.
The chairman of a leading Russian bank has criticised the United States for imposing sanctions on Iran, stressing that the U.S. sanctions against the Iranian banking sector violate international laws.
The U.S. financial and economic sanctions against Iran violate the charter of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which demands free trade between all member states, Chairman of Russian Vneshtorgbank (VTB) Andrei Kostin said on Friday.
The sanctions and economic war have made neighbouring Turkey an ever more important channel for the Islamic republic.
The scale of the buying suggests that some of the gold imports are official and possibly from the Central Bank of Iran.
Gokhan Aksu, vice president of Istanbul Gold Refinery, believes Iran is holding some of its oil revenues in gold.
Cross Currency Table – (Bloomberg)
Meanwhile ordinary Iranians are buying gold as a safe haven store of value as the rial currency is losing value and access to foreign currency was being choked off by Western sanctions.
Many Iranians are increasingly choosing to keep savings in the precious metal rather than paper currency.
In January the EU and US agreed to freeze the assets of the Iranian central bank and ban all trade in gold and other precious metals with the Iranian Central Bank and other public bodies in Iran.
Tehran announced at the end of February that it is ready to receive payment for oil supplies in gold as well as the national currencies of importer countries - according to Mahmoud Bahmani, Governor of the Central Bank of Iran.
According to IMF data, at the last official count (in 1996), Iran had reserves of just over 168 tonnes of gold. The FT reported in March 2011 that Iran has bought large amounts of bullion on the international market to diversify away from the dollar, citing a senior Bank of England official.
Currency wars continue and are set to deepen.
http://www.businessinsider.com/iran-gold-imports-surge-12-billion-usd-of-precious-metals-from-turkey-in-april-alone-2012-6
沒有留言:
發佈留言