讓我們停止假設警察在我們一邊
Let's stop assuming the police are on our side
From mass arrests to surveillance, confidence in the Metropolitan police is at an all-time low
從大規模逮捕至監視,對市警察的信心正處於新低
Nina Power
guardian.co.uk,
Tuesday 26 July 2011 21.30 BST
Translation by Autumnson Blog
Police at the G20 protests in London in April 2009, during which Ian Tomlinson died. Photograph: Jeff J Mitchell/Getty Images
2009年4月倫敦G20抗議的警方,在那期間伊恩湯姆林森死亡。攝影:傑夫 J米切爾/ Getty圖像
Can confidence in the Metropolitan police sink any lower? Even before the past few weeks revealed the possibility of their complicity in the News of the World hacking scandal, and the past few months their brutal attitude towards the policing of students and other protesters, there were many who already had reason to mistrust those who claim to be "working together for a safer London".
對市警察的信心能否下沉更低呢?即使在過去的幾個星期前被發現他們與世界新聞報黑客醜聞的同謀可能性,並在過去數個月他們的野蠻態度在治理學生和其他示威者,有很多人已經有足夠理由不再信任那些宣稱“為更安全的倫敦一起工作”的。
Take Ann Roberts, a special needs assistant, who was recently given the go-ahead in the high court to challenge the allegedly racist way in which stop-and–search powers are used: her lawyers claim statistics indicate that a black person is more than nine times more likely to be searched than a white person.
Or take the family of Smiley Culture, still waiting for answers after the reggae singer died in a police raid on his home in March this year. They are campaigning on behalf of all those who've died in police custody. Inquest, a charity which deals with contentious death, particularly in police custody, reports that more than 400 people from black and ethnic minority communities have died in prison, police custody and secure training centres in England and Wales since 1990.
Ian Tomlinson's family may finally be able to see some justice when PC Simon Harwood comes to court in October on manslaughter charges, but if the story had not been tenaciously pursued by journalists (particularly the Guardian's Paul Lewis) the police would no doubt be sticking to their line that a man had merely collapsed at the G20 protests and that missiles had been thrown at medics when they tried to help him.
The appointment of Cressida Dick as head of counter-terrorism following John Yates's resignation is similarly unlikely to inspire confidence in anyone who remembers her role in authorising the fatal shooting of Jean Charles de Menezes in 2005, mistaken for a terror suspect because an officer decided he had "distinctive Mongolian eyes".
One of the positive effects of "citizen journalism" is how much harder it makes it for the authorities to disseminate disinformation, such as the stories put out by the Met concerning Tomlinson's death. More recently, in the case of the arrests of UK Uncut protesters in Fortnum & Mason, video footage of chief inspector Claire Clark deceiving the group into a mass arrest has proved highly embarrassing to the police, who nevertheless freely admit that arrests at protests are part of an ongoing intelligence-gathering operation. The use of undercover police officers, such as Mark Kennedy, recently found to have unlawfully spied on environmental activists, has further increased suspicions regarding the motivations for police spying, not to mention the fact that its illegality makes it wholly ineffective against those it would seek to prosecute. It is cheering to see those targeted fighting back against such criminalisation of legitimate protest, particularly among those too young to vote, such as Adam Castle, who is taking the police to court over kettling at a student protest last November.
But given the many allegations of police corruption, racism, spying and death in their supposed care, why does anyone feel safe when the police are around? Robert Reiner, professor of criminology at LSE and author of The Politics of the Police, describes the phenomenon of "police fetishism" in the following way: "the ideological assumption that the police are a functional prerequisite of social order so that without a police force chaos would ensue". In fact, as Reiner points out, many societies have existed without an official police force or with very different models of policing in place. While it may be hard to imagine Britain without a police force of some kind, it is increasingly clear that those who "protect" its largest city are far from doing any such thing.
In the runup to the 2012 Olympics, we should be deeply concerned about the Met's policies and actions, particularly when they congratulate themselves on things that appear to be utterly in contrast to the way everyone else experienced them, such as the supposed "restraint" shown by police on recent demonstrations. Before the royal wedding, many were arrested on what have been described as "pre-crime" charges, with the effect that many were banned from the city for several days for doing precisely nothing. In parliament, David Cameron described the royal wedding as a "dry run" for the Olympics. If by this he means simply a large spectacular event watched by many around the world, then that's one thing. If, on the other hand, he means it to be yet another opportunity to pre-emptively criminalise, to increase surveillance, to restrict the movement of individuals and to condemn protesters, then we have a serious problem.
The resignation of those at the top of the police, and waning public trust in police policy in general, give us a perfect opportunity to question the Met's organisation and tactics. It may be difficult to shake off the idea that the police are "a condition of existence of social order", as Reiner puts it, but to stop imagining they are automatically on our side might be a good place to start.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2011/jul/26/metropolitan-police-arrests-hacking
Police Beating of Kelly Thomas in Fullerton, CA
加州富勒頓警察毆打凱利托馬斯
2011-07-23
富勒頓警察將這輕度弱智及無家可歸的男子凱利托馬斯毆打及泰瑟至死,並聲稱他拒捕,上面的視頻證明這又是一個謊言。
_______________________________________
Naked man tasered, maced and beaten by police
裸體男子被警察泰瑟、揮棒和毆打
2011-07-27
三藩市警方射擊無辜受害者5槍追他不支付巴士車資(驚慄場面)
倫敦騷亂:警察幹什麼呢?
衛報:倫敦暴動被忽略的來龍去脈 - 333人在警方拘留時死亡,冇人定罪
The Illuminati, Learned Elders of Zion, Holy Roman Empire & the NWO plus The Simpsons Code. 禍 哉 、 那 些 以 虛 假 之 細 繩 牽 罪 孽 的 人 、 他 們 又 像 以 套 繩 拉 罪 惡 。 說 、 任 他 急 速 行 、 趕 快 成 就 他 的 作 為 、 使 我 們 看 看 . 任 以 色 列 聖 者 所 謀 劃 的 臨 近 成 就 、 使 我 們 知 道 。〔賽 5 18-19〕禍 哉 、 那 些 向 耶 和 華 深 藏 謀 略 的 、 又 在 暗 中 行 事 、 說 、 誰 看 見 我 們 呢 . 誰 知 道 我 們 呢 。〔賽 29 15〕 禍 哉 、 這 悖 逆 的 兒 女 ...要 靠 法 老 的 力 量 ...〔賽 30 1-2〕 禍 哉 、 那 些 下 埃 及 求 幫 助 的...那 作 惡 之 家...〔賽 31 1-2〕那 撒 但 一 會 的 、 自 稱 是 猶 太 人 、 其 實 不 是 猶 太 人 、 乃 是 說 謊 話 的 ...〔啟 3 9〕
搜尋此網誌
2011年7月29日星期五
2011年7月28日星期四
怪雲 19: 加拿大超級飛碟雲
Super Cloud In Canada Ufo Form 24 July 2011
加拿大超級飛碟雲 2011年7月24日
2011-07-25
718 加拿大AB埃德蒙頓的異常風暴(光亮橙色天空和極怪異的雲)
怪雲 18: 澳洲管狀雲和莫斯科漏斗雲
怪雲 16:美國NASA發射基地現怪雲
怪雲13:Ufo俄羅斯、羅馬尼亞紅色環形雲
怪雲1:飛碟雲、管狀雲、地震雲
怪雲20: 哈勒姆上的蘑菇雲
加拿大超級飛碟雲 2011年7月24日
2011-07-25
718 加拿大AB埃德蒙頓的異常風暴(光亮橙色天空和極怪異的雲)
怪雲 18: 澳洲管狀雲和莫斯科漏斗雲
怪雲 16:美國NASA發射基地現怪雲
怪雲13:Ufo俄羅斯、羅馬尼亞紅色環形雲
怪雲1:飛碟雲、管狀雲、地震雲
怪雲20: 哈勒姆上的蘑菇雲
UFO 降落俄羅斯卡西莫夫遺下奇怪的白色泡沫
UFO OVNI lands Leaves Strange White Foam Kasimov, Russia June 28, 2011
OVNI UFO 降落俄羅斯卡西莫夫遺下奇怪的白色泡沫 2011年6月28日
2011-07-02
OVNI UFO 降落俄羅斯卡西莫夫遺下奇怪的白色泡沫 2011年6月28日
2011-07-02
725和726 的數個威爾特郡麥田圈及 727的麥田圈玩笑 (抽煙斗的灰人)
Crop Circle Joke in Cherhill White Horse Wiltshire 27 July 2011
麥田圈玩笑在威爾特郡白馬Cherhill 2011年7月27日
2011-07-27
Crop Circle in Windmill Hill Wiltshire UK 26 July 2011
英國威爾特郡風車山的麥田圈 2011年7月26日
2011-07-26
3 new cropcircles wiltshire 25 july 2011
威爾特郡3個新的麥田圈 2011年7月25日
2011-07-25
Crop Circle in Etchilhampton Wiltshire 25 July 2011 1/3
威爾特郡Etchilhampton的麥田圈 2011年7月25日的1/3
2011-07-25
Crop Circle in West Kennett Wiltshire 25 July 2011 2/3
威爾特郡西肯尼特的麥田圈 2011年7月25日 2/3
2011-07-25
Crop Circle in Roundway Hill Wiltshire 25 July 2011 3/3
威爾特郡Roundway山的麥田圈 2011年7月25日 3/3
2011-07-25
物理學能否解釋麥田圈? NWO誘餌加來道雄來複製和踢爆
麥田圈玩笑在威爾特郡白馬Cherhill 2011年7月27日
2011-07-27
Crop Circle in Windmill Hill Wiltshire UK 26 July 2011
英國威爾特郡風車山的麥田圈 2011年7月26日
2011-07-26
3 new cropcircles wiltshire 25 july 2011
威爾特郡3個新的麥田圈 2011年7月25日
2011-07-25
Crop Circle in Etchilhampton Wiltshire 25 July 2011 1/3
威爾特郡Etchilhampton的麥田圈 2011年7月25日的1/3
2011-07-25
Crop Circle in West Kennett Wiltshire 25 July 2011 2/3
威爾特郡西肯尼特的麥田圈 2011年7月25日 2/3
2011-07-25
Crop Circle in Roundway Hill Wiltshire 25 July 2011 3/3
威爾特郡Roundway山的麥田圈 2011年7月25日 3/3
2011-07-25
物理學能否解釋麥田圈? NWO誘餌加來道雄來複製和踢爆
16歲男孩喝可樂喝出骨質疏鬆 (自我評估是否高危人群)
16歲男孩喝可樂喝出骨質疏鬆 自測是否為高危人群
黃淼君
2011年07月28日08:01
來源:《今日早報》
你每天抽一包煙嗎?是不是經常過量飲酒?還經常喝可樂?
10道自測題,符合任何一項都是骨質疏鬆高危人群
日前,衛生部主辦的“中國健康知識傳播激勵計劃”骨質疏鬆知識共享會在我省舉行。
大會現場,浙大醫學院附屬第一醫院骨質疏鬆症診療中心副主任醫師宮堅說,骨質疏鬆不但老年人會得,年輕人也會,而且是一種無聲無息的流行病,現在骨質疏鬆已呈現年輕化趨勢。
16歲男孩喝可樂喝出骨質疏鬆
浙大醫學院附屬婦產科醫院的門急診主任周堅紅專門治療女性絕經期的症狀,印象最深的是她剛剛接診的一名49歲的女患者,駝著背,皮膚蛻皮嚴重,看起來像位80多歲的老人,這一切要從她19歲開始追溯。
“她19歲就出現腰酸背痛情況,一直到現在全身酸痛無法忍受了,才來醫院就診,檢查后才發現她是嚴重的骨質疏鬆。”周主任說,和男性不同,女性一般到絕經后因為雌激素的缺乏,會影響到人體對鈣元素的吸收,出現骨質疏鬆的情況,如果她19歲時就引起注意,可能不會導致如今這麼嚴重。
省立同德醫院張曉文副主任不久前接診過一名骨質疏鬆症的小患者,才16歲,是個小胖墩。
這名16歲的男孩從小就愛喝可樂。長期喝碳酸飲料的結果是,16歲的時候已經有150多公斤。
男孩沒有想到,除了肥胖,可樂還使他的骨骼變得疏鬆。在一次行走中,他扭傷了腳踝,到醫院一拍片,發現是嚴重的骨質疏鬆。
“通過片子發現,正常人的骨骼內部結構是一個充滿小孔的‘漁網’,而骨質疏鬆的患者是充滿大空洞的‘漁網’。”張曉文說,對於這個小胖墩,除了做手術,還明令要求改掉喝可樂的習慣,改為每天喝牛奶。
過度防晒阻礙鈣的吸收
“每個人骨頭中的鈣元素,經歷三個歷程,從積累到流失,隨著年齡的增長而變化。”浙醫一院宮堅主任說,30多歲的時候是人體骨骼礦物含量的最高峰,之后開始走下坡路,要通過均衡飲食和良好的生活習慣,保持人體中的“骨礦銀行”的儲備。
“骨質疏鬆患者,女性中每3人就有1人會發生骨折,男性是5人中有1人。特別是髖部骨折臥床的人,一年內的死亡率女性可以達到19%,男性可以達到29%。”宮堅說。
“過量飲酒是危險因素,特別是對於男性來說,可能由於乙醇(酒精)對成骨細胞有直接的毒性作用,以及隨之而來的骨形成減少,每日飲酒應控制在2個單位內。”宮堅建議,一個單位相當於乙醇10克,即啤酒285毫升、白酒30毫升、葡萄酒120毫升或開胃酒60毫升。
此外,維生素D有利於鈣在胃腸道的吸收。而維生素D的生成依賴皮膚接受陽光紫外線的照射。
“現在很多女性,一出門就涂上厚厚的防晒霜,還要打一把遮陽傘,基本阻斷了體內維生素D的形成,進而影響鈣的吸收。”宮堅建議,平均每天至少有20分鐘的日照是必需的。
-新聞鏈接
骨質疏鬆自測表
以下10個問題,可以幫助進行骨質疏鬆症高危的自我檢測,如果有一項選擇“是”,請警惕骨質疏鬆。
1、您是否曾經因為輕微的碰撞或跌倒就會傷到自己的骨骼?
2、您連續3個月以上服用激素類藥品嗎?
3、您的身高是否比年輕時降低了三厘米?
4、您經常過度飲酒嗎?(每天飲酒2次,一周中隻有1—2天不飲酒)
5、您每天吸煙超過20支嗎?
6、您經常腹瀉嗎?(由於腹腔疾病或者腸炎而引起)
7、父母有沒有輕微碰撞或跌倒就會發生髖部骨折的情況?
8、女士回答:您是否在45歲之前就絕經了?
9、您是否曾經有過連續12個月以上沒有月經(除了懷孕哺乳期間)?
10、男士回答:您是否患有陽痿或者缺乏性欲這些症狀?
http://env.people.com.cn/BIG5/15266011.html
可口可樂曝光!可樂殺手 (長片)
危險的化學物阿斯巴甜發現在可口可樂
阿斯巴甜暴露-基因改造細菌被用於創造致命的糖精
黃淼君
2011年07月28日08:01
來源:《今日早報》
你每天抽一包煙嗎?是不是經常過量飲酒?還經常喝可樂?
10道自測題,符合任何一項都是骨質疏鬆高危人群
日前,衛生部主辦的“中國健康知識傳播激勵計劃”骨質疏鬆知識共享會在我省舉行。
大會現場,浙大醫學院附屬第一醫院骨質疏鬆症診療中心副主任醫師宮堅說,骨質疏鬆不但老年人會得,年輕人也會,而且是一種無聲無息的流行病,現在骨質疏鬆已呈現年輕化趨勢。
16歲男孩喝可樂喝出骨質疏鬆
浙大醫學院附屬婦產科醫院的門急診主任周堅紅專門治療女性絕經期的症狀,印象最深的是她剛剛接診的一名49歲的女患者,駝著背,皮膚蛻皮嚴重,看起來像位80多歲的老人,這一切要從她19歲開始追溯。
“她19歲就出現腰酸背痛情況,一直到現在全身酸痛無法忍受了,才來醫院就診,檢查后才發現她是嚴重的骨質疏鬆。”周主任說,和男性不同,女性一般到絕經后因為雌激素的缺乏,會影響到人體對鈣元素的吸收,出現骨質疏鬆的情況,如果她19歲時就引起注意,可能不會導致如今這麼嚴重。
省立同德醫院張曉文副主任不久前接診過一名骨質疏鬆症的小患者,才16歲,是個小胖墩。
這名16歲的男孩從小就愛喝可樂。長期喝碳酸飲料的結果是,16歲的時候已經有150多公斤。
男孩沒有想到,除了肥胖,可樂還使他的骨骼變得疏鬆。在一次行走中,他扭傷了腳踝,到醫院一拍片,發現是嚴重的骨質疏鬆。
“通過片子發現,正常人的骨骼內部結構是一個充滿小孔的‘漁網’,而骨質疏鬆的患者是充滿大空洞的‘漁網’。”張曉文說,對於這個小胖墩,除了做手術,還明令要求改掉喝可樂的習慣,改為每天喝牛奶。
過度防晒阻礙鈣的吸收
“每個人骨頭中的鈣元素,經歷三個歷程,從積累到流失,隨著年齡的增長而變化。”浙醫一院宮堅主任說,30多歲的時候是人體骨骼礦物含量的最高峰,之后開始走下坡路,要通過均衡飲食和良好的生活習慣,保持人體中的“骨礦銀行”的儲備。
“骨質疏鬆患者,女性中每3人就有1人會發生骨折,男性是5人中有1人。特別是髖部骨折臥床的人,一年內的死亡率女性可以達到19%,男性可以達到29%。”宮堅說。
“過量飲酒是危險因素,特別是對於男性來說,可能由於乙醇(酒精)對成骨細胞有直接的毒性作用,以及隨之而來的骨形成減少,每日飲酒應控制在2個單位內。”宮堅建議,一個單位相當於乙醇10克,即啤酒285毫升、白酒30毫升、葡萄酒120毫升或開胃酒60毫升。
此外,維生素D有利於鈣在胃腸道的吸收。而維生素D的生成依賴皮膚接受陽光紫外線的照射。
“現在很多女性,一出門就涂上厚厚的防晒霜,還要打一把遮陽傘,基本阻斷了體內維生素D的形成,進而影響鈣的吸收。”宮堅建議,平均每天至少有20分鐘的日照是必需的。
-新聞鏈接
骨質疏鬆自測表
以下10個問題,可以幫助進行骨質疏鬆症高危的自我檢測,如果有一項選擇“是”,請警惕骨質疏鬆。
1、您是否曾經因為輕微的碰撞或跌倒就會傷到自己的骨骼?
2、您連續3個月以上服用激素類藥品嗎?
3、您的身高是否比年輕時降低了三厘米?
4、您經常過度飲酒嗎?(每天飲酒2次,一周中隻有1—2天不飲酒)
5、您每天吸煙超過20支嗎?
6、您經常腹瀉嗎?(由於腹腔疾病或者腸炎而引起)
7、父母有沒有輕微碰撞或跌倒就會發生髖部骨折的情況?
8、女士回答:您是否在45歲之前就絕經了?
9、您是否曾經有過連續12個月以上沒有月經(除了懷孕哺乳期間)?
10、男士回答:您是否患有陽痿或者缺乏性欲這些症狀?
http://env.people.com.cn/BIG5/15266011.html
可口可樂曝光!可樂殺手 (長片)
危險的化學物阿斯巴甜發現在可口可樂
阿斯巴甜暴露-基因改造細菌被用於創造致命的糖精
研究:海平面上升速度緩慢下降
研究:海平面上升速度緩慢下降
2011年07月28日08:19
來源:人民網-環保頻道
氣候變化造成的澳大利亞和新西蘭的海平面上升趨勢正緩慢下降
近期有研究發現,氣候變化造成的澳大利亞和新西蘭的海平面上升趨勢正在放緩。
據澳大利亞ABC新聞網報道,新南威爾士環境和人類遺產辦公室研究員菲爾?沃森(Phil Watson)分析了位於弗裡曼特爾、悉尼、紐卡斯爾和奧克蘭地區的四個驗潮儀自1897年以來採集的數據。
沃森指出,月球運行軌道改變、厄爾尼諾事件以及太平洋年代際振蕩等因素都對海平面造成影響。為了避免這些影響的干擾,沃森將數據轉換為以20年為周期的移動平均值。
採集自弗裡曼特爾和奧克蘭的數據顯示,1920年到2000年間,海平面大約上升了120毫米,平均每年上升1.5毫米,但每年增長值約下降0.02至0.04毫米。這種減速趨勢與80多年來採集的25個美國潮位記錄分析結果相一致。
該項成果在《海岸研究》雜志上發表后在科學界引發了爭議。前地質學家、現悉尼麥格理大學生物學院名譽副博士霍華德?布雷迪(Howard Brady)指出,研究顯示模型與歷史數據之間存在鴻溝。他說:“建立模型非常重要,因為它可以顯示一些事物之間的相互作用,但不一定能對未來作出准確預測。”
而澳大利亞聯邦科學與工業研究組織氣候研究員凱瑟琳?麥克因那斯博士(Kathleen McInnes)對本世紀海平面將上升15厘米的推算結果表示質疑。她說:“沃森的論文只是對過去觀測結果的研究,而不是對未來的預測,以此對未來趨勢進行推導將造成誤導。”
而聯合國政府間氣候變化專門委員會最新的報告預測,本世紀末全球海平面將上升20至80厘米。(賀嬌)
http://env.people.com.cn/BIG5/15266664.html
海平門:海平面在過去50多年並沒有上升
氣候科學家撤回雜誌宣稱海平線上升
聯合國報告稱:冰川融化全屬吹水
2011年07月28日08:19
來源:人民網-環保頻道
氣候變化造成的澳大利亞和新西蘭的海平面上升趨勢正緩慢下降
近期有研究發現,氣候變化造成的澳大利亞和新西蘭的海平面上升趨勢正在放緩。
據澳大利亞ABC新聞網報道,新南威爾士環境和人類遺產辦公室研究員菲爾?沃森(Phil Watson)分析了位於弗裡曼特爾、悉尼、紐卡斯爾和奧克蘭地區的四個驗潮儀自1897年以來採集的數據。
沃森指出,月球運行軌道改變、厄爾尼諾事件以及太平洋年代際振蕩等因素都對海平面造成影響。為了避免這些影響的干擾,沃森將數據轉換為以20年為周期的移動平均值。
採集自弗裡曼特爾和奧克蘭的數據顯示,1920年到2000年間,海平面大約上升了120毫米,平均每年上升1.5毫米,但每年增長值約下降0.02至0.04毫米。這種減速趨勢與80多年來採集的25個美國潮位記錄分析結果相一致。
該項成果在《海岸研究》雜志上發表后在科學界引發了爭議。前地質學家、現悉尼麥格理大學生物學院名譽副博士霍華德?布雷迪(Howard Brady)指出,研究顯示模型與歷史數據之間存在鴻溝。他說:“建立模型非常重要,因為它可以顯示一些事物之間的相互作用,但不一定能對未來作出准確預測。”
而澳大利亞聯邦科學與工業研究組織氣候研究員凱瑟琳?麥克因那斯博士(Kathleen McInnes)對本世紀海平面將上升15厘米的推算結果表示質疑。她說:“沃森的論文只是對過去觀測結果的研究,而不是對未來的預測,以此對未來趨勢進行推導將造成誤導。”
而聯合國政府間氣候變化專門委員會最新的報告預測,本世紀末全球海平面將上升20至80厘米。(賀嬌)
http://env.people.com.cn/BIG5/15266664.html
海平門:海平面在過去50多年並沒有上升
氣候科學家撤回雜誌宣稱海平線上升
聯合國報告稱:冰川融化全屬吹水
國民黨黨產收入暴增遭民進黨質疑
國民黨黨產收入暴增遭民進黨質疑
林楠森
BBC中文網台灣特約記者
更新時間 2011年7月27日, 格林尼治標準時間15:03
台灣執政的國民黨在過去三年黨產收入暴增,受到了在野的民進黨質疑,其龐大黨產的信托僅是一種障眼法,且利用執政機會賺取暴利。
民進黨引述國民黨的中央投資公司上繳國民黨的股利收入顯示,國民黨在馬英九執政三年共賺了69.2億台幣,若同其執政前的三年相比,獲利增長了400%。
民進黨批評馬英九的經濟政策跳票
國民黨在股票市場的獲利遠高於台灣過去三年的經濟增長與股市平均獲利,民進黨要求其公布投資內容,以讓台灣股民"學習如何一起投資"。
民進黨批評馬英九的經濟政策跳票,但黨產相對卻迅速暴增,並質疑國民黨的黨產信托是一種左手交給右手的假信托。
國民黨發言人則反駁稱其黨產信托的六位受托人都是專業公正的善良管理人,其信托一切合法,民進黨是在」亂噴政治水口"。
龐大黨產
國民黨在台灣實行一黨專政期取龐大黨產,曾使該黨被稱為全球最有錢的政黨,其黨產除現金外也包括了大量的企業及土地。
在台灣民主化後雖切斷了國民黨持續以黨國體制取得公有資產的渠道,但其已取得的龐大資產未被追回,使其在台灣各項選舉中有源源不斷的金錢供應,取得先天優勢。
在陳水扁執政的八年期間曾有意追回被國民黨侵佔的公產,但其追討在當時受到了在台灣仍具極大影響力的國民黨強力抵抗,並無進展。
雖然國民黨於幾年前在被追討壓力下將黨產交付信托,但信托並非代表放棄黨產或歸還公產,而僅是不再用政黨身份直接介入經營公司或買賣土地。
而從馬英九執政三年下國民黨信托的股利暴增,民進黨質疑其黨產信托後仍通過決策與信息方便,進行不公平的股市與房市炒作。
"愚弄社會輿論"
國民黨發言人則說民進黨說法是"愚弄社會輿論",因為該黨絕大部份黨產都已轉到中央投資公司名下,而中投公司股份全部都信托由六位"專業公正社會賢達"平均持有並負責管理。
民進黨方面指出,信托的六名受托人有四名出身於國民黨的投管會,行管會或黨管會,另兩名也同國民黨關係良好,這種信托方式並非真正信托。
這樣的信托方式被民進黨稱為"人頭信托",另據民進黨指出,國民黨的另一種信托方式是"壁紙信托",而這些作法是意在愚弄社會輿論。
壁紙是台灣俗稱毫無價值的金融票券,而被民進黨指為壁紙信托的是國民黨把1949年前其在中國大陸時發行美元公債交付信托,但這樣的美元公債依現行法令全無變現價值。
http://www.bbc.co.uk/zhongwen/trad/chinese_news/2011/07/110727_tw_kmt_funding_james.shtml
林楠森
BBC中文網台灣特約記者
更新時間 2011年7月27日, 格林尼治標準時間15:03
台灣執政的國民黨在過去三年黨產收入暴增,受到了在野的民進黨質疑,其龐大黨產的信托僅是一種障眼法,且利用執政機會賺取暴利。
民進黨引述國民黨的中央投資公司上繳國民黨的股利收入顯示,國民黨在馬英九執政三年共賺了69.2億台幣,若同其執政前的三年相比,獲利增長了400%。
民進黨批評馬英九的經濟政策跳票
國民黨在股票市場的獲利遠高於台灣過去三年的經濟增長與股市平均獲利,民進黨要求其公布投資內容,以讓台灣股民"學習如何一起投資"。
民進黨批評馬英九的經濟政策跳票,但黨產相對卻迅速暴增,並質疑國民黨的黨產信托是一種左手交給右手的假信托。
國民黨發言人則反駁稱其黨產信托的六位受托人都是專業公正的善良管理人,其信托一切合法,民進黨是在」亂噴政治水口"。
龐大黨產
國民黨在台灣實行一黨專政期取龐大黨產,曾使該黨被稱為全球最有錢的政黨,其黨產除現金外也包括了大量的企業及土地。
在台灣民主化後雖切斷了國民黨持續以黨國體制取得公有資產的渠道,但其已取得的龐大資產未被追回,使其在台灣各項選舉中有源源不斷的金錢供應,取得先天優勢。
在陳水扁執政的八年期間曾有意追回被國民黨侵佔的公產,但其追討在當時受到了在台灣仍具極大影響力的國民黨強力抵抗,並無進展。
雖然國民黨於幾年前在被追討壓力下將黨產交付信托,但信托並非代表放棄黨產或歸還公產,而僅是不再用政黨身份直接介入經營公司或買賣土地。
而從馬英九執政三年下國民黨信托的股利暴增,民進黨質疑其黨產信托後仍通過決策與信息方便,進行不公平的股市與房市炒作。
"愚弄社會輿論"
國民黨發言人則說民進黨說法是"愚弄社會輿論",因為該黨絕大部份黨產都已轉到中央投資公司名下,而中投公司股份全部都信托由六位"專業公正社會賢達"平均持有並負責管理。
民進黨方面指出,信托的六名受托人有四名出身於國民黨的投管會,行管會或黨管會,另兩名也同國民黨關係良好,這種信托方式並非真正信托。
這樣的信托方式被民進黨稱為"人頭信托",另據民進黨指出,國民黨的另一種信托方式是"壁紙信托",而這些作法是意在愚弄社會輿論。
壁紙是台灣俗稱毫無價值的金融票券,而被民進黨指為壁紙信托的是國民黨把1949年前其在中國大陸時發行美元公債交付信托,但這樣的美元公債依現行法令全無變現價值。
http://www.bbc.co.uk/zhongwen/trad/chinese_news/2011/07/110727_tw_kmt_funding_james.shtml
推動金價上漲的三個“發動機”
張庭賓:推動金價上漲的三個“發動機”
作者:張庭賓
文章發于:作者博客
更新時間:2011-7-28
對于影響國際金價的因素,最流行、也是最重要的說法是——黃金是防通脹的最好工具。然而流行的未必是正确的。最近,牛津經濟研究院就通脹或通縮對金價的影響進行了專題的研究。結果表明,通脹推動金價上漲并不嚴謹。真正最直接推動金價上漲的三個動力源分别是:美元(紙币)貶值、負利率和央行買賣。
這印證了筆者近7年來使用的分析框架的科學性:
最重要的,首先是美元(紙币)貶值,即黃金的内在價值是不變的,當爲它标價的美元貶值了,則金價表現爲上漲;從2005年7月開始,本人就指出紙币惡性競争,競相貶值是推動金價大牛市的根本動力。換言之,不是黃金有多牛,而是紙币有多衰!
第二位的是負利率。黃金的另一個基本特點是,它是實際利率爲零。當紙币的名義利息低于實際的通貨膨脹時,即它是負利率時,金價就相對紙币表現爲正利率收益。即當紙币不斷被負利率蠶食的時候,黃金安然無恙,因此受到追捧。負利率不僅僅指一年期存款利率低于官方公布的CPI,而是指低于實際利率的差距。因爲官方的CPI權重數據往往是被選擇性,它一般低于實際的通脹率。
第三位的是央行的買賣黃金的行爲——賣金,增加供給,必然打擊金價;買金增加需求,則推高金價。衆所周知,央行不喜歡黃金,因爲金本位回歸意味着它們印鈔的特權喪失。因此,隻要他們手裏有富餘的黃金,他們就會打壓黃金。但是,當它們發現無法鎮壓黃金的時候,它們就會産生相反的恐慌——擔心金本位回歸後,因爲自己缺乏黃金,而被踢出金融貨币的核心。于是它們就會轉而購買黃金,就像過去兩年央行的極大轉變一樣。
現在,随着各國政府主權債務危機的加深,财政缺口越來越大,更大規模的印鈔不可避免,紙币貶值和負利率将更加嚴重。而央行對因匮乏黃金而被邊緣化的憂慮将更深。
簡言之,本人認爲,未來3-5年之内,推動金價上漲的這三發動機仍然動力十足。除非各國政府能夠有效節制自己的貪欲。(僅供參考,投資者決策風險自負,聯系郵箱ztb6006@sina.com)
另預警:最近美元有可能借組最後時刻達成提高國債上限妥協,反擊黃金。宜離場觀望。
以下内容摘自牛津經濟研究院的報告——
《通貨膨脹和通貨緊縮對金價的影響》
黃金和一般價格水平
盡管存在許多不同的體制性設置(如金本位制、布雷頓森林體系和1971年黃金價格自由浮動等),盡管黃金的用途從作爲日常貨币轉向了充當投資工具,黃金的實際購買力在長期上卻一直都是非常穩定的。二十世紀三十年代,黃金以2010年美元的價格計約爲每金衡盎司450美元,而在超過一個半世紀後的2005年,其實質價格基本沒有出現什麽變化。
黃金能夠長期保有其實質價值這一傾向往往導緻黃金被視爲一種“對沖通脹”的手段。然而,現實情況是更爲複雜的,因爲黃金價格并非簡單地與一般價格水平保持一緻。恰恰相反,從長期上看,黃金在價格表現上與通貨膨脹趨勢并未有任何明顯的聯系。例如在二十世紀八十年代初,黃金的實際價格一躍超過其長期平均價格水平的三倍,而到了九十年代,出現了漫長的黃金熊市,黃金價格下跌,大大低于其長期平均價格水平。
注:這是用官方CPI折算進去後的百年實際金價(官方CPI存在低估的可能)
黃金及實際利率
另一個能夠影響黃金價格且與通貨膨脹在一定程度上相關的因素就是實際利率水平。由于黃金自身不存在收益,持有黃金的機會成本會随着實際利率的上升而增加,随着實際利率的降低而下降。
對黃金來說,實際利率爲負的時期應該是其表現尤爲積極的,二十世紀七十年代的經驗也爲這一論點提供了支持:當時實際利率基本爲負的情況維持了相當長的一段時期。近期,短期利率接近爲零,加之出現了溫和通脹(以及通脹預期),同樣暗示了輕度的負實際利率,并可能引發黃金需求增加。
相比之下,二十世紀八十年代初期,由于全球央行一緻試圖排擠通脹壓力,結果導緻了實際利率居高不下。在此期間,央行數次激進加息後,黃金價格從1980年的峰值水平開始走下坡路,而一些資金也從黃金向現金和政府債券等資産轉移,這大概不能稱爲偶然現象。
注:圖中左軸、灰色線爲金價,右軸紅色線爲紙币實際利率,圖中間黑色直線爲零利率
紅線在黑色線下爲負利率,在黑色線上爲正利率。明顯表現爲正利率跌,負利率漲
黃金與美元
自從二十世紀七十年代初彙率開始浮動,美元的對外價值一直對短線黃金價格走勢産生着重大的影響。許多人士已經注意到了二者間的聯系,包括Capie等學者(2005年)和國際貨币基金組織。國際貨币基金組織于2008年估算,自2002年以來黃金價格的變動中有40%到50%是與美元相關的,美元有效對外價值變動1%,黃金價格的變化要高于1%。這種關系之所以存在,是因爲美元貶值增強了非美元區國家的購買力(美元升值則會降低這些國家的購買力),從而推高了包括黃金在内的大宗商品價格(或在美元走強的情況下導緻這些商品的價格下跌)。
在美元疲軟的時期,由于投資者尋求替代的保值手段,推動了金價的上升。其中包括以美元爲基礎的投資者,他們擔心美元疲軟可能引發通貨膨脹的後果。在美元強勢的時期,美元本身往往就已被視爲一種合适的保值手段。
最近的曆史印證了美元價值與黃金價格之間的密切聯系。而美元在二十世紀七十年代末的走弱伴随着黃金價格的上揚,這與2002年開始的美元疲軟下金價的走勢一緻。相比之下,在二十世紀八十年代中期和九十年代後期,強勢的美元就伴随着相對較低黃金價格。
黃金與官方機構行爲
中央銀行和其他地區的官方機構的行爲都可能對黃金價格産生重大的影響。其中原因之一就是央行對于黃金的大量持有。2009年,央行的黃金擁有量爲30,400公噸,約占全部地表黃金庫存的15%。因此,中央銀行的黃金銷售和購買政策可能對金價産生重大影響,而這些政策在幾十年間也發生了相當大的變化。
二十世紀五十年代到六十年代是布雷頓森林體系固定彙率制度的鼎盛時期,其間中央銀行在普遍作爲黃金的淨買家,黃金也由此構成了其外彙儲備的關鍵組成部分。布雷頓森林體系解體之後,二十世紀七十年代到八十年代央行的淨購買出現了基本持平的趨勢,但這種現象于二十世紀九十年代被大幅淨銷售所取代。在此期間,黃金價格下跌,其他資産回報較高,經濟狀況和政治背景普遍良好,在這些因素的綜合作用下,各國央行不再青睐黃金。
從1989年到2009年,官方機構(包括國際貨币基金組織)銷售了總計近八千公噸的黃金,官方黃金儲備減少了五分之一,約占黃金供應總量的10%左右。由此産生的黃金供給曲線上揚可能是導緻這一時期出現黃金熊市的主要原因之一,而上文提到的二十世紀九十年代黃金與其他經濟變量的正常關系出現暫時模糊化也可能與之有關。
注:在中間黑線以上是央行買金,黑線下是賣金,與國際金價漲跌高度吻合
從1999年開始情況出現了改變,中央銀行簽署了首個關于限制未來黃金銷售的協議(《央行售金協定》)。通過消除官方售金提速對市場的威脅,這些協議有助于提振投資者對黃金的需求,直到二十一世紀初,人們仍認爲存在對這種需求潛在低估的可能性(指低于其通脹對沖價格)。值得注意的是,在二十一世紀初,黃金重新開始明确表現出與經濟壓力測量指标之間一定的正相關性,2001年到2003年間美國經濟衰退和股市暴跌後,随之而來的信貸利差飙升就是一個例證。
最近一段時期,央行再次成爲黃金的淨買家。黃金礦業服務公司(GFMS)的數據顯示, 2010年央行的黃金淨買入量爲73公噸,這是自1988年以來的首次淨買入行爲。這似乎反映了人們在考慮近期黃金價格、全球金融危機以及美元作爲全球儲備貨币的未來可能走勢後,對于黃金在其投資組合中的适當位置進行了重新評估。因此,官方的黃金采購很可能在一定程度上輕微推動了黃金近期的強勁表現。
在官方采購提振黃金的同時,央行最近的其他某些行爲可能對金價上揚有着更爲顯著的影響。2009年以來,美聯儲、英國央行乃至歐洲央行都通過向銀行界貸款以及所謂的“量化寬松”擴大其資産負債表規模(歐洲央行的幅度不及前兩者)。在美聯儲和英國央行方面,量化寬松已經見證了中央銀行資産負債表餘額增長了2.5到3倍,這是一次巨幅擴張,将央行資産負債表在國内生産總值中的份額提升了到戰時的水平。
這種應對經濟衰退和金融危機的戲劇性政策使得人們對未來通脹的快速到來産生了一定擔憂。雖然根據廣義的貨币供量應計量,資産負債表餘額的大幅擴張尚未進入快速增長(考慮到通貨膨脹的主要驅動力),但有人擔心這可能隻是反映銀行系統呈現受損時的狀态,而一旦銀行系統全面恢複,廣義貨币量計量将再次飙升。另一個值得關注的是央行在運行以量化爲基礎的貨币政策(相對于通過利率來調整貨币價格的政策而言)方面經驗相對較少,可能出現重大的政策失誤,例如,央行可能會誤判貨币和金融市場趨勢,從而導緻在撤銷貨币刺激因素時等待時間過長。
自從其低潮期在全球金融危機中出現之後,對通脹的中期預測值僅略有上升,而對于高通脹的憂慮顯然還未成爲普遍現象。然而,美國和其他主要經濟體采取了寬松的貨币政策,增加了未來出現高通脹尾部風險的可能性,僅此一項就可能足以使投資者爲求“保險”而對黃金産生進一步需求。2009年以來黃金價格與美聯儲資産負債表規模之間的關系也明确提示了這一點。
注:美聯儲資産負債表規模越大,金價越高。
本博無法保證此研究報告的數據表述完全準确,特此提示風險
http://www.wyzxsx.com/Article/finance/201107/251092.html
作者:張庭賓
文章發于:作者博客
更新時間:2011-7-28
對于影響國際金價的因素,最流行、也是最重要的說法是——黃金是防通脹的最好工具。然而流行的未必是正确的。最近,牛津經濟研究院就通脹或通縮對金價的影響進行了專題的研究。結果表明,通脹推動金價上漲并不嚴謹。真正最直接推動金價上漲的三個動力源分别是:美元(紙币)貶值、負利率和央行買賣。
這印證了筆者近7年來使用的分析框架的科學性:
最重要的,首先是美元(紙币)貶值,即黃金的内在價值是不變的,當爲它标價的美元貶值了,則金價表現爲上漲;從2005年7月開始,本人就指出紙币惡性競争,競相貶值是推動金價大牛市的根本動力。換言之,不是黃金有多牛,而是紙币有多衰!
第二位的是負利率。黃金的另一個基本特點是,它是實際利率爲零。當紙币的名義利息低于實際的通貨膨脹時,即它是負利率時,金價就相對紙币表現爲正利率收益。即當紙币不斷被負利率蠶食的時候,黃金安然無恙,因此受到追捧。負利率不僅僅指一年期存款利率低于官方公布的CPI,而是指低于實際利率的差距。因爲官方的CPI權重數據往往是被選擇性,它一般低于實際的通脹率。
第三位的是央行的買賣黃金的行爲——賣金,增加供給,必然打擊金價;買金增加需求,則推高金價。衆所周知,央行不喜歡黃金,因爲金本位回歸意味着它們印鈔的特權喪失。因此,隻要他們手裏有富餘的黃金,他們就會打壓黃金。但是,當它們發現無法鎮壓黃金的時候,它們就會産生相反的恐慌——擔心金本位回歸後,因爲自己缺乏黃金,而被踢出金融貨币的核心。于是它們就會轉而購買黃金,就像過去兩年央行的極大轉變一樣。
現在,随着各國政府主權債務危機的加深,财政缺口越來越大,更大規模的印鈔不可避免,紙币貶值和負利率将更加嚴重。而央行對因匮乏黃金而被邊緣化的憂慮将更深。
簡言之,本人認爲,未來3-5年之内,推動金價上漲的這三發動機仍然動力十足。除非各國政府能夠有效節制自己的貪欲。(僅供參考,投資者決策風險自負,聯系郵箱ztb6006@sina.com)
另預警:最近美元有可能借組最後時刻達成提高國債上限妥協,反擊黃金。宜離場觀望。
以下内容摘自牛津經濟研究院的報告——
《通貨膨脹和通貨緊縮對金價的影響》
黃金和一般價格水平
盡管存在許多不同的體制性設置(如金本位制、布雷頓森林體系和1971年黃金價格自由浮動等),盡管黃金的用途從作爲日常貨币轉向了充當投資工具,黃金的實際購買力在長期上卻一直都是非常穩定的。二十世紀三十年代,黃金以2010年美元的價格計約爲每金衡盎司450美元,而在超過一個半世紀後的2005年,其實質價格基本沒有出現什麽變化。
黃金能夠長期保有其實質價值這一傾向往往導緻黃金被視爲一種“對沖通脹”的手段。然而,現實情況是更爲複雜的,因爲黃金價格并非簡單地與一般價格水平保持一緻。恰恰相反,從長期上看,黃金在價格表現上與通貨膨脹趨勢并未有任何明顯的聯系。例如在二十世紀八十年代初,黃金的實際價格一躍超過其長期平均價格水平的三倍,而到了九十年代,出現了漫長的黃金熊市,黃金價格下跌,大大低于其長期平均價格水平。
注:這是用官方CPI折算進去後的百年實際金價(官方CPI存在低估的可能)
黃金及實際利率
另一個能夠影響黃金價格且與通貨膨脹在一定程度上相關的因素就是實際利率水平。由于黃金自身不存在收益,持有黃金的機會成本會随着實際利率的上升而增加,随着實際利率的降低而下降。
對黃金來說,實際利率爲負的時期應該是其表現尤爲積極的,二十世紀七十年代的經驗也爲這一論點提供了支持:當時實際利率基本爲負的情況維持了相當長的一段時期。近期,短期利率接近爲零,加之出現了溫和通脹(以及通脹預期),同樣暗示了輕度的負實際利率,并可能引發黃金需求增加。
相比之下,二十世紀八十年代初期,由于全球央行一緻試圖排擠通脹壓力,結果導緻了實際利率居高不下。在此期間,央行數次激進加息後,黃金價格從1980年的峰值水平開始走下坡路,而一些資金也從黃金向現金和政府債券等資産轉移,這大概不能稱爲偶然現象。
注:圖中左軸、灰色線爲金價,右軸紅色線爲紙币實際利率,圖中間黑色直線爲零利率
紅線在黑色線下爲負利率,在黑色線上爲正利率。明顯表現爲正利率跌,負利率漲
黃金與美元
自從二十世紀七十年代初彙率開始浮動,美元的對外價值一直對短線黃金價格走勢産生着重大的影響。許多人士已經注意到了二者間的聯系,包括Capie等學者(2005年)和國際貨币基金組織。國際貨币基金組織于2008年估算,自2002年以來黃金價格的變動中有40%到50%是與美元相關的,美元有效對外價值變動1%,黃金價格的變化要高于1%。這種關系之所以存在,是因爲美元貶值增強了非美元區國家的購買力(美元升值則會降低這些國家的購買力),從而推高了包括黃金在内的大宗商品價格(或在美元走強的情況下導緻這些商品的價格下跌)。
在美元疲軟的時期,由于投資者尋求替代的保值手段,推動了金價的上升。其中包括以美元爲基礎的投資者,他們擔心美元疲軟可能引發通貨膨脹的後果。在美元強勢的時期,美元本身往往就已被視爲一種合适的保值手段。
最近的曆史印證了美元價值與黃金價格之間的密切聯系。而美元在二十世紀七十年代末的走弱伴随着黃金價格的上揚,這與2002年開始的美元疲軟下金價的走勢一緻。相比之下,在二十世紀八十年代中期和九十年代後期,強勢的美元就伴随着相對較低黃金價格。
黃金與官方機構行爲
中央銀行和其他地區的官方機構的行爲都可能對黃金價格産生重大的影響。其中原因之一就是央行對于黃金的大量持有。2009年,央行的黃金擁有量爲30,400公噸,約占全部地表黃金庫存的15%。因此,中央銀行的黃金銷售和購買政策可能對金價産生重大影響,而這些政策在幾十年間也發生了相當大的變化。
二十世紀五十年代到六十年代是布雷頓森林體系固定彙率制度的鼎盛時期,其間中央銀行在普遍作爲黃金的淨買家,黃金也由此構成了其外彙儲備的關鍵組成部分。布雷頓森林體系解體之後,二十世紀七十年代到八十年代央行的淨購買出現了基本持平的趨勢,但這種現象于二十世紀九十年代被大幅淨銷售所取代。在此期間,黃金價格下跌,其他資産回報較高,經濟狀況和政治背景普遍良好,在這些因素的綜合作用下,各國央行不再青睐黃金。
從1989年到2009年,官方機構(包括國際貨币基金組織)銷售了總計近八千公噸的黃金,官方黃金儲備減少了五分之一,約占黃金供應總量的10%左右。由此産生的黃金供給曲線上揚可能是導緻這一時期出現黃金熊市的主要原因之一,而上文提到的二十世紀九十年代黃金與其他經濟變量的正常關系出現暫時模糊化也可能與之有關。
注:在中間黑線以上是央行買金,黑線下是賣金,與國際金價漲跌高度吻合
從1999年開始情況出現了改變,中央銀行簽署了首個關于限制未來黃金銷售的協議(《央行售金協定》)。通過消除官方售金提速對市場的威脅,這些協議有助于提振投資者對黃金的需求,直到二十一世紀初,人們仍認爲存在對這種需求潛在低估的可能性(指低于其通脹對沖價格)。值得注意的是,在二十一世紀初,黃金重新開始明确表現出與經濟壓力測量指标之間一定的正相關性,2001年到2003年間美國經濟衰退和股市暴跌後,随之而來的信貸利差飙升就是一個例證。
最近一段時期,央行再次成爲黃金的淨買家。黃金礦業服務公司(GFMS)的數據顯示, 2010年央行的黃金淨買入量爲73公噸,這是自1988年以來的首次淨買入行爲。這似乎反映了人們在考慮近期黃金價格、全球金融危機以及美元作爲全球儲備貨币的未來可能走勢後,對于黃金在其投資組合中的适當位置進行了重新評估。因此,官方的黃金采購很可能在一定程度上輕微推動了黃金近期的強勁表現。
在官方采購提振黃金的同時,央行最近的其他某些行爲可能對金價上揚有着更爲顯著的影響。2009年以來,美聯儲、英國央行乃至歐洲央行都通過向銀行界貸款以及所謂的“量化寬松”擴大其資産負債表規模(歐洲央行的幅度不及前兩者)。在美聯儲和英國央行方面,量化寬松已經見證了中央銀行資産負債表餘額增長了2.5到3倍,這是一次巨幅擴張,将央行資産負債表在國内生産總值中的份額提升了到戰時的水平。
這種應對經濟衰退和金融危機的戲劇性政策使得人們對未來通脹的快速到來産生了一定擔憂。雖然根據廣義的貨币供量應計量,資産負債表餘額的大幅擴張尚未進入快速增長(考慮到通貨膨脹的主要驅動力),但有人擔心這可能隻是反映銀行系統呈現受損時的狀态,而一旦銀行系統全面恢複,廣義貨币量計量将再次飙升。另一個值得關注的是央行在運行以量化爲基礎的貨币政策(相對于通過利率來調整貨币價格的政策而言)方面經驗相對較少,可能出現重大的政策失誤,例如,央行可能會誤判貨币和金融市場趨勢,從而導緻在撤銷貨币刺激因素時等待時間過長。
自從其低潮期在全球金融危機中出現之後,對通脹的中期預測值僅略有上升,而對于高通脹的憂慮顯然還未成爲普遍現象。然而,美國和其他主要經濟體采取了寬松的貨币政策,增加了未來出現高通脹尾部風險的可能性,僅此一項就可能足以使投資者爲求“保險”而對黃金産生進一步需求。2009年以來黃金價格與美聯儲資産負債表規模之間的關系也明确提示了這一點。
注:美聯儲資産負債表規模越大,金價越高。
本博無法保證此研究報告的數據表述完全準确,特此提示風險
http://www.wyzxsx.com/Article/finance/201107/251092.html
索羅斯攻擊計劃可能即将啓動
索羅斯攻擊計劃可能即将啓動
作者:海嘯後的希望
文章發于:烏有之鄉
更新時間:2011-7-28
北京時間7月26日晚間消息,以成功狙擊英國央行而聞名于世的億萬富翁投資者喬治-索羅斯将結束其四十多年的對沖基金經理生涯,他麾下的索羅斯基金管理公司将向外部投資者返還不到10億美元的資金。
很多人聽見上面的消息,馬上就說索羅斯對沖基金生涯即将結束。實際是大錯特錯。大家看看索羅斯所謂的退出的結果:
1、僅僅向投資者退還不到10億美元資金;
2、索羅斯基金管理公司正式成爲一個家族投資機構;
索羅斯基金賬面資金總共有255億美元,現在僅僅退還不到10億美元。對索羅斯基金操作幾乎沒有什麽影響。
由于美國證交會(SEC)公布了基金監管方面的一個重大調整。新的監管規定要求某些私人投資顧問必須在2012年3月以前向SEC注冊。并可能被随時被監督機構調查其投資項目。如果一個投資機構作爲一個家族組織運作,它就無需遵守這方面的規定。
索羅斯投資基金僅僅減少了不到10億美元外部投資,就可以輕松規避美國政、府的監管。這是非常劃算的一筆買賣。
一年前索羅斯80高齡依然複出,2010年10月索羅斯基金才進駐香港。索羅斯最近一年不斷指點江山。現在居然說要再次隐退了。
歐洲債務危機不斷深化,新興國家泡沫嚴重,世界形勢越來越複雜的今天。索羅斯會真的退出嗎?
前一段時間,索羅斯居然說他看不清楚現在的變化,所以索羅斯基金大量持有現金。
大家想想索羅斯之所以有今天的成就,正是因爲索羅斯是亂世枭雄。每一次危機都是索羅斯夢寐以求的機會。現在,索羅斯對經濟中問題的認識幾乎無人能及。現在索羅斯居然說他看不清楚了!如果索羅斯真的看不清楚當前的形勢變化,那麽全世界估計也沒有幾個人能看出來了。
現在世界最大的問題是:
1、世界各國的各種債務問題;
2、全世界範圍内的資産和信貸泡沫問題;
3、史無前例的熱錢流動問題;
4、各國彙率前所未有的波動;
5、史無前例的産能過剩問題;
世界經濟面臨如此多的問題,對金融大鳄索羅斯必将是前所未有的機遇。所以索羅斯才會在1年前複出,并進駐香港。
爲什麽突然索羅斯會說要解散基金呢!同時說要退休了呢?我估計真正的原因如下:
1、索羅斯的攻擊計劃很快将要運行,當然這些運行的過程是絕密的。但美國新的監管規則卻可以讓索羅斯的計劃曝光。所以索羅斯必須要想辦法規避監管。所以索羅斯僅僅退還不到10億美元的資金,就搖身一變成爲家族機構。這樣就可以躲避美國的監管;
2、索羅斯故意說自己要退休,因爲索羅斯的存在讓各國政府高度關注。在開始實施攻擊以前索羅斯故意說退休。目的就是麻痹被攻擊的國家。實際上索羅斯退不退休都不妨礙索羅斯指揮布局,因爲索羅斯基金現在繼續由索羅斯的兩個兒子掌管。
3、索羅斯故意說看不清楚形勢,同時故意顯示索羅斯基金持有大量現金。也是爲了掩蓋自己的真實意圖。同時麻痹對手。讓大家以爲索羅斯現在無所事事。索羅斯基金的資金實際随時可以進入攻擊領域。當然,索羅斯的盟友在索羅斯的掩護下,也許早已布局完成。
以上分析可以看出,索羅斯基金所謂的“解散”,實際是爲了更好的攻擊。索羅斯急急忙忙的“解散” 基金,并宣稱将隐退,故意說看不清方向,并顯示索羅斯基金大量持有現金。索羅斯最擅長的就是提前洞察金融和經濟中的問題,這次說故意說看不清楚,很明顯索羅斯将會有大動作了。否者索羅斯用不着這樣釋放煙霧彈。索羅斯現在手中持有的大量現金,完全可以在很短的時間内形成攻擊的力量。
經濟刺激不僅不能解決經濟中累計的經濟問題,很快經濟刺激的副作用将顯現。不要幻想全球經濟複蘇。再次經濟刺激也是不可能的了,因爲債務危機的出現,讓各國無力再繼續靠赤字刺激經濟了。世界經濟必将跌入萬丈深淵。如此千年不遇的機會,索羅斯必定已經成竹在胸。也許索羅斯所謂的隐退,就是攻擊的開始。
http://www.wyzxsx.com/Article/finance/201107/251091.html
索羅斯在中國的秘密行動
羅傑斯抄底,索羅斯做空,果真上來了?
誰“以一賠十賭美國信貸評級會被調低賺100億美元”?
作者:海嘯後的希望
文章發于:烏有之鄉
更新時間:2011-7-28
北京時間7月26日晚間消息,以成功狙擊英國央行而聞名于世的億萬富翁投資者喬治-索羅斯将結束其四十多年的對沖基金經理生涯,他麾下的索羅斯基金管理公司将向外部投資者返還不到10億美元的資金。
很多人聽見上面的消息,馬上就說索羅斯對沖基金生涯即将結束。實際是大錯特錯。大家看看索羅斯所謂的退出的結果:
1、僅僅向投資者退還不到10億美元資金;
2、索羅斯基金管理公司正式成爲一個家族投資機構;
索羅斯基金賬面資金總共有255億美元,現在僅僅退還不到10億美元。對索羅斯基金操作幾乎沒有什麽影響。
由于美國證交會(SEC)公布了基金監管方面的一個重大調整。新的監管規定要求某些私人投資顧問必須在2012年3月以前向SEC注冊。并可能被随時被監督機構調查其投資項目。如果一個投資機構作爲一個家族組織運作,它就無需遵守這方面的規定。
索羅斯投資基金僅僅減少了不到10億美元外部投資,就可以輕松規避美國政、府的監管。這是非常劃算的一筆買賣。
一年前索羅斯80高齡依然複出,2010年10月索羅斯基金才進駐香港。索羅斯最近一年不斷指點江山。現在居然說要再次隐退了。
歐洲債務危機不斷深化,新興國家泡沫嚴重,世界形勢越來越複雜的今天。索羅斯會真的退出嗎?
前一段時間,索羅斯居然說他看不清楚現在的變化,所以索羅斯基金大量持有現金。
大家想想索羅斯之所以有今天的成就,正是因爲索羅斯是亂世枭雄。每一次危機都是索羅斯夢寐以求的機會。現在,索羅斯對經濟中問題的認識幾乎無人能及。現在索羅斯居然說他看不清楚了!如果索羅斯真的看不清楚當前的形勢變化,那麽全世界估計也沒有幾個人能看出來了。
現在世界最大的問題是:
1、世界各國的各種債務問題;
2、全世界範圍内的資産和信貸泡沫問題;
3、史無前例的熱錢流動問題;
4、各國彙率前所未有的波動;
5、史無前例的産能過剩問題;
世界經濟面臨如此多的問題,對金融大鳄索羅斯必将是前所未有的機遇。所以索羅斯才會在1年前複出,并進駐香港。
爲什麽突然索羅斯會說要解散基金呢!同時說要退休了呢?我估計真正的原因如下:
1、索羅斯的攻擊計劃很快将要運行,當然這些運行的過程是絕密的。但美國新的監管規則卻可以讓索羅斯的計劃曝光。所以索羅斯必須要想辦法規避監管。所以索羅斯僅僅退還不到10億美元的資金,就搖身一變成爲家族機構。這樣就可以躲避美國的監管;
2、索羅斯故意說自己要退休,因爲索羅斯的存在讓各國政府高度關注。在開始實施攻擊以前索羅斯故意說退休。目的就是麻痹被攻擊的國家。實際上索羅斯退不退休都不妨礙索羅斯指揮布局,因爲索羅斯基金現在繼續由索羅斯的兩個兒子掌管。
3、索羅斯故意說看不清楚形勢,同時故意顯示索羅斯基金持有大量現金。也是爲了掩蓋自己的真實意圖。同時麻痹對手。讓大家以爲索羅斯現在無所事事。索羅斯基金的資金實際随時可以進入攻擊領域。當然,索羅斯的盟友在索羅斯的掩護下,也許早已布局完成。
以上分析可以看出,索羅斯基金所謂的“解散”,實際是爲了更好的攻擊。索羅斯急急忙忙的“解散” 基金,并宣稱将隐退,故意說看不清方向,并顯示索羅斯基金大量持有現金。索羅斯最擅長的就是提前洞察金融和經濟中的問題,這次說故意說看不清楚,很明顯索羅斯将會有大動作了。否者索羅斯用不着這樣釋放煙霧彈。索羅斯現在手中持有的大量現金,完全可以在很短的時間内形成攻擊的力量。
經濟刺激不僅不能解決經濟中累計的經濟問題,很快經濟刺激的副作用将顯現。不要幻想全球經濟複蘇。再次經濟刺激也是不可能的了,因爲債務危機的出現,讓各國無力再繼續靠赤字刺激經濟了。世界經濟必将跌入萬丈深淵。如此千年不遇的機會,索羅斯必定已經成竹在胸。也許索羅斯所謂的隐退,就是攻擊的開始。
http://www.wyzxsx.com/Article/finance/201107/251091.html
索羅斯在中國的秘密行動
羅傑斯抄底,索羅斯做空,果真上來了?
誰“以一賠十賭美國信貸評級會被調低賺100億美元”?
恐怖分子自稱是“達爾文派”,不是“基督徒”
恐怖分子自稱是“達爾文派”,不是“基督徒”
Terrorist proclaimed himself 'Darwinian,' not 'Christian'
Norwegian's manifesto shows Breivik not religious, having no personal faith
挪威人的宣言顯示布雷維克不是宗教性的,沒有個人的信仰
Posted: July 24, 2011
7:09 pm Eastern
Translation by Autumnson Blog
WASHINGTON – A review of Anders Behring Breivik's 1,500-page manifesto shows the media's quick characterization of the Norwegian terrorist as a "Christian" may be as incorrect as it was to call Oklahoma City bomber Timothy McVeigh one.
華盛頓 - 一項安德斯貝林布雷維克的1500頁宣言的審查顯示,媒體的快速表徵該挪威恐怖為“基督徒”可能是不正確的,正如那一次它稱呼俄克拉荷馬城爆炸者蒂莫西麥克維。
Breivik was arrested over the weekend, charged with a pair of brutal attacks in and near Oslo, Norway, including a bombing in the capital city that killed 7 and a shooting spree at a youth political retreat on the island of Utoya that killed more than 80 victims.
布雷維克上週末被捕,被控以兩次的野蠻襲擊在挪威的奧斯陸和附近,其中包括在首都的爆炸炸死7人,和在青年政治退修島 Utoya內的一宗槍擊事件,炸死80多名受害者。
Piecing together Breivik's various posts on the Internet, many media reports have characterized the terrorist – who says he was upset over the multiculturalist policies stemming from Norway's Labour Party – as a "right-wing, Christian fundamentalist."
拼湊布雷維克在互聯網上的多份帖文,許多媒體報導已表徵該恐怖分子 - 他說他沮喪於產自挪威工黨的多元文化政策 - 為“右翼的基督教原教旨主義者。”
Yet, while McVeigh rejected God altogether, Breivik writes in his manifesto that he is not religious, has doubts about God's existence, does not pray, but does assert the primacy of Europe's "Christian culture" as well as his own pagan Nordic culture.
然而,儘管與麥克維一齊拒絕上帝,布雷維克在他的宣言寫道,他不是宗教性的、對上帝的存在有懷疑、不祈禱,但卻維護歐洲的“基督教文化”以及他自己異教的北歐文化的首要地位。
Breivik instead hails Charles Darwin, whose evolutionary theories stand in contrast to the claims of the Bible, and affirms: "As for the Church and science, it is essential that science takes an undisputed precedence over biblical teachings. Europe has always been the cradle of science, and it must always continue to be that way. Regarding my personal relationship with God, I guess I'm not an excessively religious man. I am first and foremost a man of logic. However, I am a supporter of a monocultural Christian Europe."
代之布雷維克歡呼達爾文,他的進化論立場相對聖經的宣稱轍然不同,並申明:“至於教會和科學,它是不可或缺科學有無可爭議的優先於聖經的教導,歐洲一直是科學的搖籃,及它必須經常繼續是這樣。至於我個人與上帝的關係,我想我不是一個過分的宗教人,我是一個以邏輯為先的人,但我是一個歐洲基督教單一文化的支持者。“
Discover how both totalitarianism and terrorism will wilt in the face of true freedom with "The Case for Democracy: The Power of Freedom to Overcome Tyranny and Terror."
The terrorist also candidly admits he finds no support within either the Catholic or Protestant churches for his violent ideas.
"I trust that the future leadership of a European cultural conservative hegemony in Europe will ensure that the current Church leadership are replaced and the systems somewhat reformed," he writes. "We must have a Church leadership who supports a future Crusade with the intention of liberating the Balkans, Anatolia and creating three Christian states in the Middle East. Efforts should be made to facilitate the de-construction of the Protestant Church whose members should convert back to Catholicism. The Protestant Church had an important role once, but its original goals have been accomplished and have contributed to reform the Catholic Church as well. Europe should have a united Church lead [sic] by a just and non-suicidal pope who is willing to fight for the security of his subjects, especially in regards to Islamic atrocities."
While Breivik says he considers himself "100-percent Christian," he also expresses pride in his genealogical roots.
"I am very proud of my Viking heritage," he writes. "My name, Breivik, is a location name from northern Norway, and can be dated back to even before the Viking era. Behring is a pre-Christian Germanic name, which is derived from Behr, the Germanic word for Bear (or 'those who are protected by the bear')."
And while characterizing himself as "Christian" and "Protestant," Breivik says he supports "a reformation of Protestantism leading to it being absorbed by Catholisism." [sic]
Likewise, media reports frequently characterized McVeigh as a "Christian," though he adamantly denied any religious beliefs or convictions – placing his faith in science.
Breivik adds, "I went from moderately agnostic to moderately religious."
In a question-and-answer section of his manifesto, Breivik asks himself, "What should be our civilisational [sic] objectives, how do you envision a perfect Europe?"
His answer is hardly the response of a "Christian utopian": "'Logic' and rationalist thought (a certain degree of national Darwinism) should be the fundament [sic] of our societies. I support the propagation of collective rational thought but not necessarily on a personal level."
Religious worship and study is never noted in the manifesto as part of Breivik's routine in preparing for his mission of mass murder. In discussing his preparation for the attack, he writes: "It has been a long-term process since I first decided I wanted to contribute. But it's not like I have been isolated for years. I have almost lived a normal life up until now. I still have a close relationship with my friends and family, just not as tight as it used to be. As for my current situation, I have been working on this book now for almost two years. It's essential that you reward yourself and enjoy life in this period. You can do things you normally wouldn't have done. You can basically live a normal life if you chose to; you just have to be extra careful. I have been practising [sic] certain rituals and meditation to strengthen my beliefs and convictions. For me, the most common ritual is taking a long walk listening to my favourite [sic] music on my iPod."
Breivik also points out that his association with Christian cultural values is one of political expedience rather than religious commitment or faith
"My choice has nothing to do with the fact that I am not proud of my own traditions and heritage," he explains. "My choice was based purely pragmatism. All Europeans are in this boat together, so we must choose a more moderate platform that can appeal to a great number of Europeans – preferably up to 50 percent (realistically up to 35 percent)."
Breivik also claims membership in the Freemasons, which many Christians consider to be a cultic organization.
More specifically, he calls himself a Justiciar Knight and explains what that means insofar as belief in Christianity:
"As this is a cultural war, our definition of being a Christian does not necessarily constitute that you are required to have a personal relationship with God or Jesus," he writes. "Being a Christian can mean many things; That you believe in and want to protect Europe's Christian cultural heritage. The European cultural heritage, our norms (moral codes and social structures included), our traditions and our modern political systems are based on Christianity – Protestantism, Catholicism, Orthodox Christianity and the legacy of the European enlightenment (reason is the primary source and legitimacy for authority). It is not required that you have a personal relationship with God or Jesus in order to fight for our Christian cultural heritage and the European way. In many ways, our modern societies and European secularism is a result of European Christendom and the enlightenment. It is therefore essential to understand the difference between a 'Christian fundamentalist theocracy' (everything we do not want) and a secular European society based on our Christian cultural heritage (what we do want). So no, you don't need to have a personal relationship with God or Jesus to fight for our Christian cultural heritage. It is enough that you are a Christian-agnostic or a Christian atheist (an atheist who wants to preserve at least the basics of the European Christian cultural legacy (Christian holidays, Christmas and Easter)). The PCCTS, Knights Templar is therefore not a religious organisation [sic] but rather a Christian 'culturalist' military order."
Over and over again, Breivik goes out of his way to make clear to readers of his manifesto that he is not motivated by Christian faith.
"I'm not going to pretend I'm a very religious person, as that would be a lie," he says. "I've always been very pragmatic and influenced by my secular surroundings and environment. In the past, I remember I used to think: 'Religion is a crutch for weak people. What is the point in believing in a higher power if you have confidence in yourself!? Pathetic.' Perhaps this is true for many cases. Religion is a crutch for many weak people, and many embrace religion for self-serving reasons as a source for drawing mental strength (to feed their weak emotional state [for] example during illness, death, poverty etc.). Since I am not a hypocrite, I'll say directly that this is my agenda as well. However, I have not yet felt the need to ask God for strength, yet."
http://www.wnd.com/?pageId=325765#ixzz1T83heV4q
挪威殺手背後的共濟會象徵主義
誰是得益自挪威恐襲的銀行家?
Terrorist proclaimed himself 'Darwinian,' not 'Christian'
Norwegian's manifesto shows Breivik not religious, having no personal faith
挪威人的宣言顯示布雷維克不是宗教性的,沒有個人的信仰
Posted: July 24, 2011
7:09 pm Eastern
Translation by Autumnson Blog
WASHINGTON – A review of Anders Behring Breivik's 1,500-page manifesto shows the media's quick characterization of the Norwegian terrorist as a "Christian" may be as incorrect as it was to call Oklahoma City bomber Timothy McVeigh one.
華盛頓 - 一項安德斯貝林布雷維克的1500頁宣言的審查顯示,媒體的快速表徵該挪威恐怖為“基督徒”可能是不正確的,正如那一次它稱呼俄克拉荷馬城爆炸者蒂莫西麥克維。
Breivik was arrested over the weekend, charged with a pair of brutal attacks in and near Oslo, Norway, including a bombing in the capital city that killed 7 and a shooting spree at a youth political retreat on the island of Utoya that killed more than 80 victims.
布雷維克上週末被捕,被控以兩次的野蠻襲擊在挪威的奧斯陸和附近,其中包括在首都的爆炸炸死7人,和在青年政治退修島 Utoya內的一宗槍擊事件,炸死80多名受害者。
Piecing together Breivik's various posts on the Internet, many media reports have characterized the terrorist – who says he was upset over the multiculturalist policies stemming from Norway's Labour Party – as a "right-wing, Christian fundamentalist."
拼湊布雷維克在互聯網上的多份帖文,許多媒體報導已表徵該恐怖分子 - 他說他沮喪於產自挪威工黨的多元文化政策 - 為“右翼的基督教原教旨主義者。”
Yet, while McVeigh rejected God altogether, Breivik writes in his manifesto that he is not religious, has doubts about God's existence, does not pray, but does assert the primacy of Europe's "Christian culture" as well as his own pagan Nordic culture.
然而,儘管與麥克維一齊拒絕上帝,布雷維克在他的宣言寫道,他不是宗教性的、對上帝的存在有懷疑、不祈禱,但卻維護歐洲的“基督教文化”以及他自己異教的北歐文化的首要地位。
Breivik instead hails Charles Darwin, whose evolutionary theories stand in contrast to the claims of the Bible, and affirms: "As for the Church and science, it is essential that science takes an undisputed precedence over biblical teachings. Europe has always been the cradle of science, and it must always continue to be that way. Regarding my personal relationship with God, I guess I'm not an excessively religious man. I am first and foremost a man of logic. However, I am a supporter of a monocultural Christian Europe."
代之布雷維克歡呼達爾文,他的進化論立場相對聖經的宣稱轍然不同,並申明:“至於教會和科學,它是不可或缺科學有無可爭議的優先於聖經的教導,歐洲一直是科學的搖籃,及它必須經常繼續是這樣。至於我個人與上帝的關係,我想我不是一個過分的宗教人,我是一個以邏輯為先的人,但我是一個歐洲基督教單一文化的支持者。“
Discover how both totalitarianism and terrorism will wilt in the face of true freedom with "The Case for Democracy: The Power of Freedom to Overcome Tyranny and Terror."
The terrorist also candidly admits he finds no support within either the Catholic or Protestant churches for his violent ideas.
"I trust that the future leadership of a European cultural conservative hegemony in Europe will ensure that the current Church leadership are replaced and the systems somewhat reformed," he writes. "We must have a Church leadership who supports a future Crusade with the intention of liberating the Balkans, Anatolia and creating three Christian states in the Middle East. Efforts should be made to facilitate the de-construction of the Protestant Church whose members should convert back to Catholicism. The Protestant Church had an important role once, but its original goals have been accomplished and have contributed to reform the Catholic Church as well. Europe should have a united Church lead [sic] by a just and non-suicidal pope who is willing to fight for the security of his subjects, especially in regards to Islamic atrocities."
While Breivik says he considers himself "100-percent Christian," he also expresses pride in his genealogical roots.
"I am very proud of my Viking heritage," he writes. "My name, Breivik, is a location name from northern Norway, and can be dated back to even before the Viking era. Behring is a pre-Christian Germanic name, which is derived from Behr, the Germanic word for Bear (or 'those who are protected by the bear')."
And while characterizing himself as "Christian" and "Protestant," Breivik says he supports "a reformation of Protestantism leading to it being absorbed by Catholisism." [sic]
Likewise, media reports frequently characterized McVeigh as a "Christian," though he adamantly denied any religious beliefs or convictions – placing his faith in science.
Breivik adds, "I went from moderately agnostic to moderately religious."
In a question-and-answer section of his manifesto, Breivik asks himself, "What should be our civilisational [sic] objectives, how do you envision a perfect Europe?"
His answer is hardly the response of a "Christian utopian": "'Logic' and rationalist thought (a certain degree of national Darwinism) should be the fundament [sic] of our societies. I support the propagation of collective rational thought but not necessarily on a personal level."
Religious worship and study is never noted in the manifesto as part of Breivik's routine in preparing for his mission of mass murder. In discussing his preparation for the attack, he writes: "It has been a long-term process since I first decided I wanted to contribute. But it's not like I have been isolated for years. I have almost lived a normal life up until now. I still have a close relationship with my friends and family, just not as tight as it used to be. As for my current situation, I have been working on this book now for almost two years. It's essential that you reward yourself and enjoy life in this period. You can do things you normally wouldn't have done. You can basically live a normal life if you chose to; you just have to be extra careful. I have been practising [sic] certain rituals and meditation to strengthen my beliefs and convictions. For me, the most common ritual is taking a long walk listening to my favourite [sic] music on my iPod."
Breivik also points out that his association with Christian cultural values is one of political expedience rather than religious commitment or faith
"My choice has nothing to do with the fact that I am not proud of my own traditions and heritage," he explains. "My choice was based purely pragmatism. All Europeans are in this boat together, so we must choose a more moderate platform that can appeal to a great number of Europeans – preferably up to 50 percent (realistically up to 35 percent)."
Breivik also claims membership in the Freemasons, which many Christians consider to be a cultic organization.
More specifically, he calls himself a Justiciar Knight and explains what that means insofar as belief in Christianity:
"As this is a cultural war, our definition of being a Christian does not necessarily constitute that you are required to have a personal relationship with God or Jesus," he writes. "Being a Christian can mean many things; That you believe in and want to protect Europe's Christian cultural heritage. The European cultural heritage, our norms (moral codes and social structures included), our traditions and our modern political systems are based on Christianity – Protestantism, Catholicism, Orthodox Christianity and the legacy of the European enlightenment (reason is the primary source and legitimacy for authority). It is not required that you have a personal relationship with God or Jesus in order to fight for our Christian cultural heritage and the European way. In many ways, our modern societies and European secularism is a result of European Christendom and the enlightenment. It is therefore essential to understand the difference between a 'Christian fundamentalist theocracy' (everything we do not want) and a secular European society based on our Christian cultural heritage (what we do want). So no, you don't need to have a personal relationship with God or Jesus to fight for our Christian cultural heritage. It is enough that you are a Christian-agnostic or a Christian atheist (an atheist who wants to preserve at least the basics of the European Christian cultural legacy (Christian holidays, Christmas and Easter)). The PCCTS, Knights Templar is therefore not a religious organisation [sic] but rather a Christian 'culturalist' military order."
Over and over again, Breivik goes out of his way to make clear to readers of his manifesto that he is not motivated by Christian faith.
"I'm not going to pretend I'm a very religious person, as that would be a lie," he says. "I've always been very pragmatic and influenced by my secular surroundings and environment. In the past, I remember I used to think: 'Religion is a crutch for weak people. What is the point in believing in a higher power if you have confidence in yourself!? Pathetic.' Perhaps this is true for many cases. Religion is a crutch for many weak people, and many embrace religion for self-serving reasons as a source for drawing mental strength (to feed their weak emotional state [for] example during illness, death, poverty etc.). Since I am not a hypocrite, I'll say directly that this is my agenda as well. However, I have not yet felt the need to ask God for strength, yet."
http://www.wnd.com/?pageId=325765#ixzz1T83heV4q
挪威殺手背後的共濟會象徵主義
誰是得益自挪威恐襲的銀行家?
明尼蘇達州現在支付科學家參與克隆人類
明尼蘇達州現在支付科學家參與克隆人類
Minnesota Now Paying Scientists to Engage in Human Cloning
by Steven Ertelt
7/21/11 1:50 PM
Translation by Autumnson Blog
The state of Minnesota is now paying scientists to engage in the grisly practice of human cloning. After the state legislature failed to re-authorize a ban on state funded human cloning during the special session, it is now legal to use taxpayer dollars to create cloned human embryos.
明尼蘇達州現在支付科學家參與恐怖實踐的克隆人類,在州立法議會於特別會議期間,未能重新授權禁止州資助的人類克隆之後。現在它是合法去使用納稅人的錢創造克隆人類的胚胎。
The ban on the use of state taxpayer money had been in place since 2009 and encompassed all forms of human cloning, known also as somatic cell nuclear transfer, whether intended for reproductive or so-called therapeutic purposes. The University of Minnesota Stem Cell Institute repeatedly testified during the legislative session against a permanent ban on state funding of human cloning, saying it wanted to leave open its option to clone human life with state funds.
使用州納稅人錢的禁令已經自2009年以來到位,並涵蓋所有形式的人類克隆,亦被稱為體細胞核轉移,無論是用於繁殖或所謂的治療目的。美國明尼蘇達大學幹細胞研究所多次在立法會議作證,反對永久禁止州資助的人類克隆,稱它想要留下開放的選項以州資金克隆人類的生命。
“In these hard economic times when so many Minnesotans are hurting, it is a tragedy that our taxpayer dollars can now be wasted to create and kill the tiniest human beings,” responded Leo LaLonde, the president of Minnesota Citizens Concerned for Life, a statewide pro-life organization.
During the regular 2011 legislative session, state legislators passed a total ban on all forms of human cloning, in addition to passing a continuation of the ban on taxpayer funding of human cloning. Governor Mark Dayton, a Democrat, vetoed the pro-life legislation. Then, in a legislative deal struck by pro-abortion Gov. Dayton, Senate Majority Leader Koch, and Speaker of the House Zellers going into the special session, no pro-life provisions were allowed to be considered, MCCL indicates.
“Many states and countries and the United Nations have called for an all-out ban on all forms of human cloning, but here in Minnesota we will now actually make state funds available to create a human clone,” stated LaLonde. “This is despite the fact that polling consistently shows that the American people are overwhelmingly opposed to human cloning.”
Scientists who create cloned human embryos typically dissect and kill the human clones within days after they are alive. It is not known how many human clones will be created and killed by various institutions in Minnesota, including the University of Minnesota, or which ones will be state funded, as there are no reporting requirements to disclose the number of deaths, LaLonde said.
Sen. Michelle Fischbach, R-Paynesville, and Rep. Bob Dettmer, R-Forest Lake, sponsored the legislation to ban human cloning and lawmakers ultimately included it in the Health and Human Services omnibus bill. The language of the bill banned human cloning for any purpose.
Opponents of the ban, primarily the University of Minnesota, claimed that producing a human organism by cloning and then destroying it after five to 10 days, is not cloning. However, the National Institutes of Health defines cloning as the process of combining an enucleated egg (oocyte) with a somatic (i.e. body) cell nucleus to make an embryo. Whether the cloned embryo is destroyed or allowed to live does not change the definition of cloning.
Minnesota’s 1973 Human Conceptus statute (MN Statute 145.422) prohibits “the use of a living human conceptus for any type of scientific, laboratory research or other experimentation.” Dr. John Wagner, director of the U of M’s Stem Cell Institute, admitted in testimony on March 17 that cloning creates a human conceptus: “Once you insert a nucleus into that oocyte you get an embryo.” A cloned embryo cannot be destroyed or used for experiments without violation of the statute.
The Legislature passed a similar ban in 2009 after learning that the U of M was considering conducting human cloning experiments with state funds (the 2009 ban must be reauthorized every two years). The human cloning funding ban would permanently prevent state taxpayer funds from being used to clone human beings.
A 2005 International Communications Research poll showed 75% of Americans strongly oppose the use of human cloning for any reason. For years, poll after poll has shown overwhelming opposition to human cloning in the United States. North and South Dakota, Michigan and Iowa are among the states that have banned human cloning.
Previous attempts to ban human cloning gained traction among lawmakers and citizens, but fell short of the votes needed to become law. The state legislature passed a ban on taxpayer funding of human cloning in 2009, which pro-life Gov. Tim Pawlenty signed into law. That ban needs to be re-authorized in 2011, unless cloning is banned outright, MCCL officials said.
Pawlenty also, in 2008, vetoed the Kahn-Cohen Cloning Bill, which would have legalized human cloning and forced taxpayers to pay for the destruction of human life. Pro-life advocates strongly opposed the legislation, SF 100, because it funds human cloning and the killing of human embryos at the University of Minnesota.
http://www.lifenews.com/2011/07/21/minnesota-now-paying-scientists-to-engage-in-human-cloning/
Minnesota Now Paying Scientists to Engage in Human Cloning
by Steven Ertelt
7/21/11 1:50 PM
Translation by Autumnson Blog
The state of Minnesota is now paying scientists to engage in the grisly practice of human cloning. After the state legislature failed to re-authorize a ban on state funded human cloning during the special session, it is now legal to use taxpayer dollars to create cloned human embryos.
明尼蘇達州現在支付科學家參與恐怖實踐的克隆人類,在州立法議會於特別會議期間,未能重新授權禁止州資助的人類克隆之後。現在它是合法去使用納稅人的錢創造克隆人類的胚胎。
The ban on the use of state taxpayer money had been in place since 2009 and encompassed all forms of human cloning, known also as somatic cell nuclear transfer, whether intended for reproductive or so-called therapeutic purposes. The University of Minnesota Stem Cell Institute repeatedly testified during the legislative session against a permanent ban on state funding of human cloning, saying it wanted to leave open its option to clone human life with state funds.
使用州納稅人錢的禁令已經自2009年以來到位,並涵蓋所有形式的人類克隆,亦被稱為體細胞核轉移,無論是用於繁殖或所謂的治療目的。美國明尼蘇達大學幹細胞研究所多次在立法會議作證,反對永久禁止州資助的人類克隆,稱它想要留下開放的選項以州資金克隆人類的生命。
“In these hard economic times when so many Minnesotans are hurting, it is a tragedy that our taxpayer dollars can now be wasted to create and kill the tiniest human beings,” responded Leo LaLonde, the president of Minnesota Citizens Concerned for Life, a statewide pro-life organization.
During the regular 2011 legislative session, state legislators passed a total ban on all forms of human cloning, in addition to passing a continuation of the ban on taxpayer funding of human cloning. Governor Mark Dayton, a Democrat, vetoed the pro-life legislation. Then, in a legislative deal struck by pro-abortion Gov. Dayton, Senate Majority Leader Koch, and Speaker of the House Zellers going into the special session, no pro-life provisions were allowed to be considered, MCCL indicates.
“Many states and countries and the United Nations have called for an all-out ban on all forms of human cloning, but here in Minnesota we will now actually make state funds available to create a human clone,” stated LaLonde. “This is despite the fact that polling consistently shows that the American people are overwhelmingly opposed to human cloning.”
Scientists who create cloned human embryos typically dissect and kill the human clones within days after they are alive. It is not known how many human clones will be created and killed by various institutions in Minnesota, including the University of Minnesota, or which ones will be state funded, as there are no reporting requirements to disclose the number of deaths, LaLonde said.
Sen. Michelle Fischbach, R-Paynesville, and Rep. Bob Dettmer, R-Forest Lake, sponsored the legislation to ban human cloning and lawmakers ultimately included it in the Health and Human Services omnibus bill. The language of the bill banned human cloning for any purpose.
Opponents of the ban, primarily the University of Minnesota, claimed that producing a human organism by cloning and then destroying it after five to 10 days, is not cloning. However, the National Institutes of Health defines cloning as the process of combining an enucleated egg (oocyte) with a somatic (i.e. body) cell nucleus to make an embryo. Whether the cloned embryo is destroyed or allowed to live does not change the definition of cloning.
Minnesota’s 1973 Human Conceptus statute (MN Statute 145.422) prohibits “the use of a living human conceptus for any type of scientific, laboratory research or other experimentation.” Dr. John Wagner, director of the U of M’s Stem Cell Institute, admitted in testimony on March 17 that cloning creates a human conceptus: “Once you insert a nucleus into that oocyte you get an embryo.” A cloned embryo cannot be destroyed or used for experiments without violation of the statute.
The Legislature passed a similar ban in 2009 after learning that the U of M was considering conducting human cloning experiments with state funds (the 2009 ban must be reauthorized every two years). The human cloning funding ban would permanently prevent state taxpayer funds from being used to clone human beings.
A 2005 International Communications Research poll showed 75% of Americans strongly oppose the use of human cloning for any reason. For years, poll after poll has shown overwhelming opposition to human cloning in the United States. North and South Dakota, Michigan and Iowa are among the states that have banned human cloning.
Previous attempts to ban human cloning gained traction among lawmakers and citizens, but fell short of the votes needed to become law. The state legislature passed a ban on taxpayer funding of human cloning in 2009, which pro-life Gov. Tim Pawlenty signed into law. That ban needs to be re-authorized in 2011, unless cloning is banned outright, MCCL officials said.
Pawlenty also, in 2008, vetoed the Kahn-Cohen Cloning Bill, which would have legalized human cloning and forced taxpayers to pay for the destruction of human life. Pro-life advocates strongly opposed the legislation, SF 100, because it funds human cloning and the killing of human embryos at the University of Minnesota.
http://www.lifenews.com/2011/07/21/minnesota-now-paying-scientists-to-engage-in-human-cloning/
帕加馬:撒旦的座椅
Pergamum: The Seat of Satan
帕加馬:撒旦的座椅
Jul 26, 2011
Translation by Autumnson Blog
In a two-part series, Gordon Robertson takes an in-depth look at the ancient Greco-Roman city Pergamum called “the dwelling place of Satan” from the book of Revelation.
In part one, Gordon examines life in first-century Pergamum; the pagan cults devoted to the Roman emperor and the Greek gods Zeus and Asklepios; and the martyrdom of the Christian bishop Antipas.
In part two, Pergamum’s Altar of Zeus takes center stage as it is excavated and taken to Germany where it later inspires the architecture of Adolf Hitler.
在一兩部分的系列,戈登羅伯遜作出深入的研究看看古希臘-羅馬的城市帕加馬,在啟示錄被稱為“撒旦的居所”。
在第一部分中,戈登考察第一世紀的帕加馬生活;異教邪教專注效力羅馬皇帝和希臘神宙斯及亞斯克;以及基督教主教安提帕的殉難。
在第二部分中,帕加馬的宙斯祭壇取得舞台中心,因為它被掘出和帶至德國,在稍後激發阿道夫希特拉的架構。
(註:與You-tube同片但另一平台而且更清晰):
http://www.cbn.com/700club/features/churchhistory/pergamon/
The Secrets of Ancient Pergamum: The Seat of Satan (Part 1) - CBN.com
古代帕加馬的秘密:撒旦的座椅(第一部分) - CBN.com
2011-07-22
The Seat of Satan: Pergamum and Nazi Germany - CBN.com
撒旦的座椅:帕加馬和納粹德國 - CBN.com
2011-07-22
帕加馬:撒旦的座椅
Jul 26, 2011
Translation by Autumnson Blog
In a two-part series, Gordon Robertson takes an in-depth look at the ancient Greco-Roman city Pergamum called “the dwelling place of Satan” from the book of Revelation.
In part one, Gordon examines life in first-century Pergamum; the pagan cults devoted to the Roman emperor and the Greek gods Zeus and Asklepios; and the martyrdom of the Christian bishop Antipas.
In part two, Pergamum’s Altar of Zeus takes center stage as it is excavated and taken to Germany where it later inspires the architecture of Adolf Hitler.
在一兩部分的系列,戈登羅伯遜作出深入的研究看看古希臘-羅馬的城市帕加馬,在啟示錄被稱為“撒旦的居所”。
在第一部分中,戈登考察第一世紀的帕加馬生活;異教邪教專注效力羅馬皇帝和希臘神宙斯及亞斯克;以及基督教主教安提帕的殉難。
在第二部分中,帕加馬的宙斯祭壇取得舞台中心,因為它被掘出和帶至德國,在稍後激發阿道夫希特拉的架構。
(註:與You-tube同片但另一平台而且更清晰):
http://www.cbn.com/700club/features/churchhistory/pergamon/
The Secrets of Ancient Pergamum: The Seat of Satan (Part 1) - CBN.com
古代帕加馬的秘密:撒旦的座椅(第一部分) - CBN.com
2011-07-22
The Seat of Satan: Pergamum and Nazi Germany - CBN.com
撒旦的座椅:帕加馬和納粹德國 - CBN.com
2011-07-22
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