No need to get panicky of Earth quake warning: Renzu Shah
Scoop News
Thursday, December 22, 2011
Translation by Autumnson Blog
Concerned experts should verify
查謨/斯利那加12月21日（獨家新聞） - 查謨和克什米爾的信息主管卡瓦賈法魯克 Renzu沙阿說，美國基的地震學家羅傑 Bilham的警告即巨型地震可能造成破壞，需要加以驗證和克什米爾的人民不需要恐慌。
He told that Local newspapers carried front page stories about Roger Bilham of Colorado University predicting a major earthquake in Kashmir that could trigger landslides which would dam the Jhelum River and plunge the valley under water.
他說當地報紙的頭版故事，關於美國科羅拉多大學的羅傑 Bilham預測克什米爾有大地震，可能引發山體滑坡，那將為傑赫勒姆河築壩和將山谷降入水下。
Renzu Shah said that The US based seismologist Roger Bilham’s Warning that ‘Mega Earth quake’ can cause devastation needs to be verified and people of Valley need not to panic.
Renzu沙阿說，美國基的地震學家羅傑 Bilham的警告，“巨型地震"可造成的破壞需要加以驗證和山谷的人不需要恐慌。
He told that no conclusion can be made on such reports of American based scientist, unless the National Metrological and Disaster Management department and experts endorse this ‘imaginary’ survey report.
他告訴，對這些美國基科學家的報告還沒作出定論，除非國家計量和災害管理部門和專家贊同這種“虛想”的調查報告。
“Nine magnitude earth quake prediction has caused unnecessary panic among the people of valley,” and adding that he advised these scientists to get their reports further verified before giving it to media.
“九級震級的地震預測已對山谷的人造成不必要的恐慌”，並補充他建議這些科學家在給媒體之前，進一步驗證他們的報告。
Renzu Shah said that Last year in July 2010 similar report was issued about disastrous earth quake prediction in East Turkistan and Kashgar similar Survey was published in media according to which entire belt of Kashgar and east Turkistan was predicted to be erased out of world map as a result devastating earth quake.
He said Chinese authorities controlling east Turkistan and Kashgar in the garb of this threat survey, demolished precious centaury old heritage buildings in Kashgar.
It is really lamentable that Kashgar authorities instead of verifying the survey report misused the same for destroying centaury old high cultural sites of great saints in the Kashgar and precious heritage buildings were unnecessary demolished.
Renzu Shah advised such alarming survey report of American based scientist with regard to 9 magnitudes richer scale earth quake report should be verified and analyzed by concerned experts before created any panic or human cry.
He advised such alarming survey report of American based scientist with regard to 9 magnitudes richer scale earth quake report should be verified and analyzed by concerned experts before created any panic or human cry.
Some promising approaches may lead to successful predictions in the future. May be someday scientists and seismologists will come up with a prediction method to minimize the human and property loss. But at present no such prediction is available to the world.
Most of the scientists say earthquakes are so hard to predict, how seismologists try to foretell quakes which can confuse people and make them believe in the predictions. For places with a high rate of historic activity, the chance that a quake will hit in a future period of several decades can be quite high.
Meanwhile, the Kashmir based experts recommend the state government to undertake micro-seismic zoning in the Valley to minimize loss of human lives in case of any such eventuality.
It may be mentioned that on October 8, 2005, a magnitude-7.9 earthquake, one of the largest ever recorded in present Kashmir, struck with no apparent warning across the Line of Control (LOC) in Indian and Pakistani parts of Kashmir. Over 40,000 people were killed across the Line of Control in this quake. The earth quake created a psychosis and fear in the minds of the people in Valley. Kashmir is located along well known fault zones of the planet earth. So Kashmiris would believe anything related to quake.
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