Who 'made $10bn on 10/1 bet that U.S. credit rating would be downgraded'?
Unknown investor or hedge fund 'made $850million bet'
不知名的投資者或對沖基金“作八億五千萬美元賭注”
Bet in futures market reportedly done at odds of 10/1
在期貨市場下注據報賠率在10/1成交
George Soros made similar bet on currency in 1992
索羅斯1992年在貨幣作出類似的賭注
But source says he wasn't involved in rumoured trade
但來源說他並沒有參與傳聞的交易
By Mark Duell
Last updated at 12:08 AM on 9th August 2011
Translation by Autumnson Blog
A mystery investor or hedge fund reportedly made a bet of almost $1billion at odds of 10/1 last month that the U.S. would lose its AAA credit rating.
上月一名神秘的投資者或對沖基金據報作出賭注近10億美元，以10/1賠率賭美國將失去其AAA信用評級。
Now questions are being asked of whether the trader had inside information before placing the $850million bet in the futures market, or if the bet happened at all.
現在有問題提出，交易者在期貨市場擺出八億五千萬投注之前是否有內幕資料，或者賭注是否真的有發生。
There were mounting rumours that investor George Soros, 80, famously known as ‘the man who broke the Bank of England’, could be involved.
如山的傳言說，80歲的投資者喬治索羅斯，以“打破英國央行的人”著名，可能有參與。
Was it him? George Soros, 80, has been mentioned as potentially being the mystery investor who won a $1billion bet that the credit rating would fall
是否他？80歲喬治索羅斯已被提名為有潛質的神秘投資者，贏得一10億美元的賭注在信用評級會下降 He made more than $1billion on currency speculation when the British pound left the Exchange Rate Mechanism on Black Wednesday in 1992.
他取得超過 10億美元在投機貨幣，當英鎊於1992年的黑色星期三脫離匯率機制。
But a source with knowledge of the firm said Soros was not involved in the rumoured trade and questioned whether in fact there had been such a trade at all.
但一個對公司有認識的消息來源表示，索羅斯並沒有參與傳聞中的交易，並質疑實際上曾否有過這樣的交易可言。
The latest bet was made on July 21 on trades of 5,370 ten-year Treasury futures and 3,100 Treasury bond futures, reported ETF Daily News.
最新的賭注於七月21日作出，在交易5,370份十年期國債期貨和3,100份國債期貨，ETF每日新聞報導。
Now the investor's gamble seems to have paid off after Standard and Poor’s issued a credit rating downgrade from AAA to AA+ last Friday.
現在，投資者的賭博似乎已見成效，在上週五標準普爾發出信用評級從 AAA降級到AA+後。
Whoever it is stands to earn a 1,000 per cent return on their money, with the expectation that interest rates will be going up after the downgrade.
無論是誰也代表有人的錢賺得1,000％的回報，與預期利率將在降級後上升。
The link has been made to Mr Soros in part because he has been tied to President Obama’s administration since 2008, reported The Examiner.
He also recently stopped managing money for outside investors, meaning he is under less scrutiny from the Securities and Exchange Commision
But the mystery bet could easily have been made by another trader with similar resources, despite Mr Soros’s links with the Obama administration.
The bet also raises questions of whether President Obama and Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner knew that a downgrade was on the cards.
Mr Geithner said in April there was ‘no risk’ of a downgrade - but the government now appears annoyed, not surprised, by last week’s decision.
He has since slammed S&P for showing 'terrible judgment' in their decision and a 'stunning lack of knowledge' of U.S. fiscal budget maths.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2023809/Did-George-Soros-win-10-1-return-S-Ps-US-credit-rating-downgrade.html
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