我們正處於嚴峻的危險之中； 病毒爆發無法遏止； 死亡率43.75％
We Are in GRAVE DANGER; Virus Outbreak Cannot Be Stopped; 43.75% Fatality Rate
人們被告知的和他們所見到的並不匹配
What people are being TOLD does not match what people are SEEING.
06 FEBRUARY 2020
What is occurring in China right now with the (accidentally) released Bio-Weapon being called "novel Coronavirus" is one of the most prolific events of the past century of human history. They are facing a struggle to maintain their political system, social structure, and perhaps even the survival of their very nation. WE ARE NEXT.
Cognitive dissonance is beginning to take root everywhere now, as can be expected.
Cognitive dissonance is the phenomenon where the human mind cannot process two conflicting ideas or statements at the same time, rendering a person incapable of discerning the truth or forcing them to reject any further information at all.
Cognitive dissonance is the phenomenon where the human mind cannot process two conflicting ideas or statements at the same time, rendering a person incapable of discerning the truth or forcing them to reject any further information at all.
With this outbreak, people are being told "it's just another flu" while at the same time, seeing twenty two China cities with a population totaling over 100 MILLION people, being Quarantined. People being WELDED into their homes. Others being SHOT DEAD by police for trying to escape Quarantine. And literally hundreds of seemingly healthy, young, people, simply dropping-dead on the streets, in stores, on roads and in their homes. What people are being TOLD does not match what people are SEEING.
In situations like these, propaganda campaigns will be rolled out, information tightly controlled and foreign powers will use the crisis as an opportunity to advance their own interests.
Things seem increasingly quiet because information is being controlled. There is disinformation interspersed with the truth, and sometimes there is no information at all.
A stoic approach is best, centered in logic, to discern the truth and produce analysis that can be used to make reliable decisions and plans.
List out the facts of what you know to be true or have a reasonable belief to be valid.
Thoroughly vet sources, chain of custody through which reports are passed and time stamps.
Videos are more reliable than pictures, pictures more reliable than words.
Give more weight to actions than words.
For communist countries, propaganda is their lifeblood. While all countries partake in this to an extent, an argument can be made that communist countries and fascist dictatorships have made it into an art form.
Example:
CCP diplomatic statement- "Other country's response to the pandemic is overblown and based in misguided fear."
CCP true action: Unprecedented lockdown of nearly 2 dozen cities and 100 million people.
Mainstream media talking point: "The common flu is more dangerous than Coronavirus."
True action: Citizens are flown back to their home country on airplanes with crew wearing positive pressure suits normally used for only the most lethal pathogens and then placed into 14 day quarantine.
Numbers update:
For the second day in a row, the officially acknowledged numbers have increased by the highest amount in a single day. Last week, they were increasing by 2,000 a day. Now they are increasing by 4,000 a day. Every day now there are more people infected than there were total cases at the end of January.
Truth: The spread of the virus is accelerating.
Two days ago, I predicted that by the end of this week, 12 additional provinces would reach the same condition as was happening in Wuhan a month ago.
Since yesterday, the number of cases has more than doubled overnight in 6 provinces outside of Wuhan.
Beijing and Shanghai have now crossed the threshold for sustained chain reaction outbreak.
Based on previous experience with other disasters, I estimate that the number of deaths and serious cases is 1000 times higher than what has been shown in leaked videos over the past 2 weeks. That is a low end estimate- it could very well be very much higher.
The rest of the world:
Some data analysis has shown that the rate of infection is just as high as it was inside China at the start of the outbreak.
I'm not sure if I agree with that assessment at this time- but this virus is a slow burner. Not enough time has passed to know. The first evacuees brought back have only been here for a few days.
Objectively, there is no reason to believe that the virus would behave differently outside of China. This leads me to believe that there will be a rapid rise of cases in countries outside of China by mid-February.
Places affected first will be:
Japan
Singapore
Thailand
South Korea
Hong Kong
When it is obvious that this situation is dire in those countries, by the end of February, the situation will be the same in:
Australia
Taiwan
Germany
United States
Malaysia
Vietnam
Macau
India may completely jump the shark at some point before then. The extreme poverty, rampant slums and almost non-existent personal hygiene will allow the disease to spread unchecked. Half a BILLION in India are likely to die within months.
Political leaders in the West have made statements saying that things will turn out well. I believe this is a misguided bluff. Self delusion. Or a deliberate lie?
This is a virus, not a country or political brinkmanship. A virus cannot be intimidated or threatened. It's mind cannot be changed. It cannot be reasoned with. It is a force of nature - it simply is. It only abides by the laws of science and doesn't care what people think or believe. It is, in itself, a form of absolute truth in a way.
I can't accurately at this time predict how it will turn out for the West. It is like not knowing with 100% certainty if someone will shoot you or not until the bullet has already left the barrel of the gun. By the time you are 100% certain, it is already too late.
But I do know that it is foolishly unwise to assume that an outbreak like China can't or won't spread to other places and be just as severe within the next 2 months.
In situations like these, propaganda campaigns will be rolled out, information tightly controlled and foreign powers will use the crisis as an opportunity to advance their own interests.
Things seem increasingly quiet because information is being controlled. There is disinformation interspersed with the truth, and sometimes there is no information at all.
A stoic approach is best, centered in logic, to discern the truth and produce analysis that can be used to make reliable decisions and plans.
List out the facts of what you know to be true or have a reasonable belief to be valid.
Thoroughly vet sources, chain of custody through which reports are passed and time stamps.
Videos are more reliable than pictures, pictures more reliable than words.
Give more weight to actions than words.
For communist countries, propaganda is their lifeblood. While all countries partake in this to an extent, an argument can be made that communist countries and fascist dictatorships have made it into an art form.
Example:
CCP diplomatic statement- "Other country's response to the pandemic is overblown and based in misguided fear."
CCP true action: Unprecedented lockdown of nearly 2 dozen cities and 100 million people.
Mainstream media talking point: "The common flu is more dangerous than Coronavirus."
True action: Citizens are flown back to their home country on airplanes with crew wearing positive pressure suits normally used for only the most lethal pathogens and then placed into 14 day quarantine.
Numbers update:
For the second day in a row, the officially acknowledged numbers have increased by the highest amount in a single day. Last week, they were increasing by 2,000 a day. Now they are increasing by 4,000 a day. Every day now there are more people infected than there were total cases at the end of January.
Truth: The spread of the virus is accelerating.
Two days ago, I predicted that by the end of this week, 12 additional provinces would reach the same condition as was happening in Wuhan a month ago.
Since yesterday, the number of cases has more than doubled overnight in 6 provinces outside of Wuhan.
Beijing and Shanghai have now crossed the threshold for sustained chain reaction outbreak.
Based on previous experience with other disasters, I estimate that the number of deaths and serious cases is 1000 times higher than what has been shown in leaked videos over the past 2 weeks. That is a low end estimate- it could very well be very much higher.
The rest of the world:
Some data analysis has shown that the rate of infection is just as high as it was inside China at the start of the outbreak.
I'm not sure if I agree with that assessment at this time- but this virus is a slow burner. Not enough time has passed to know. The first evacuees brought back have only been here for a few days.
Objectively, there is no reason to believe that the virus would behave differently outside of China. This leads me to believe that there will be a rapid rise of cases in countries outside of China by mid-February.
Places affected first will be:
Japan
Singapore
Thailand
South Korea
Hong Kong
When it is obvious that this situation is dire in those countries, by the end of February, the situation will be the same in:
Australia
Taiwan
Germany
United States
Malaysia
Vietnam
Macau
India may completely jump the shark at some point before then. The extreme poverty, rampant slums and almost non-existent personal hygiene will allow the disease to spread unchecked. Half a BILLION in India are likely to die within months.
Political leaders in the West have made statements saying that things will turn out well. I believe this is a misguided bluff. Self delusion. Or a deliberate lie?
This is a virus, not a country or political brinkmanship. A virus cannot be intimidated or threatened. It's mind cannot be changed. It cannot be reasoned with. It is a force of nature - it simply is. It only abides by the laws of science and doesn't care what people think or believe. It is, in itself, a form of absolute truth in a way.
I can't accurately at this time predict how it will turn out for the West. It is like not knowing with 100% certainty if someone will shoot you or not until the bullet has already left the barrel of the gun. By the time you are 100% certain, it is already too late.
But I do know that it is foolishly unwise to assume that an outbreak like China can't or won't spread to other places and be just as severe within the next 2 months.
Last night, a person who works for the US Government in the Health care field, revealed to me that US Veteran's Administration Disease Control Experts have begun warning Veterans Administration Hospitals the "Pandemic is coming to the US." They already KNOW it is coming. Government, however, is simply not telling the people.
Perhaps they wish to avoid panic. A noble goal, but arrogantly misplaced. We the People make this country run. We pay all the money government has and uses to exist. Without us, there is no government because there is no money to pay for it. Moreover, we're the adults. We MUST know what the facts are in order to make cogent decisions for our own safety and the safety of our families. These decisions are OURS, not the governments!
Look at what is presently taking place in China:
22 cities locked down by government order
100 Million People in those cities, unable to travel, unable to go to work, unable to shop for goods or even food.
People being forcibly DRAGGED out of their homes and put into Quarantine centers.
People being SHOT DEAD for refusing to go with police.
Homes and apartment buildings having steel bars welded to their entrances to prevent occupants from going out.
Steel barricades being installed on streets to prevent people from moving about.
Stores EMPTY of food.
HUNDREDS DROPPING-DEAD on streets, in stores, on roads.
Dead Bodies being BURNED in long, open-air trenches in the middle of Wuhan, China.
These things can happen here. Soon. Within a month or so.
Prepare.
https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/we-are-in-grave-danger-virus-outbreak-cannot-be-stopped-43-75-fatality-rate
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