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2011年7月12日星期二

蓋特納在電視上 - “凱恩斯學派經濟已失敗”

蓋特納在電視上 - “凱恩斯學派經濟已失敗”
Geithner on TV – “Keynesian economics has failed”
Submitted by Bruce Krasting
on 07/10/2011 15:30 -0400
Translation by Autumnson Blog

Some refreshing words from the Treasury Secretary, Tim Geithner this morning on Meet the Press. He had this to say: (15:20 into this clip)Note: An 8 second clip of Tim's words:
庫務局局長蓋特納今早在見見新聞界上有些醒神的說話，他這樣說的：（進入這片段的15:20 clip)。
註：一段添的話的 8秒剪輯：
Geithner
蓋特納
2011-07-10

We don’t have the ability (because of the overhang in housing and the problems in the financial sector) to artificially engineer a stronger recovery.
我們沒有能力（由於在住房的威脅和金融界別的問題）去人為地造出更強的復甦。

Imagine that! Geithner acknowledges what I (and many others) have felt all along. The structural issues in the economy trump the government’s ability to engineer a recovery.

The Fed has taken extraordinary measures on the monetary front. Since 2009 we have had $1.2 trillion of fiscal stimulus measures as well. We have had TARP and the bailouts of Fannie and Freddie. But the evidence is clear that it has not worked. Unemployment is today near a record and the more important measure, U6, is at 16.2% (about where it was a year ago) Nothing that has been done has moved the needle.

Geithner might have put it differently. He could have really put it on the line. I would have preferred that he had said:

"Keynesian economics has not worked(凱恩斯學派經濟學唔掂). At best, it has given us a small reprieve from the restructuring that must happen. Our government can’t fight the forces of economics any better than we can fight the forces of nature. Large stimulus measures will not bring the desired results. We have to suck it up and take some pain. We can’t go on spending money that we don’t have to fix a problem that can’t be fixed. If we tried, it would be just be a waste of time and precious financial resources. We can no longer afford to throw good money after bad (我們不再能負担在壞情况後掟好錢)."

Of course Tim was not as blunt as that. But read his words. It means the same thing. Sorry Keynesians, I know the truth hurts.