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2010年2月7日星期日

中國鷹派要求對美國冷戰

中美因台灣武器交易面阻阻
US-China faceoff over Taiwan arms deal
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8BJ42OcVRNM&feature=player_embedded

中國鷹派要求對美國冷戰
China’s hawks demand cold war on the US

From The Sunday Times
February 7, 2010


MORE than half of Chinese people questioned in a poll believe China and America are heading for a new “cold war”.
一半以上的中國人在調查中被問到,相信中國和美國正在走向一個新的“冷戰”。
The finding came after battles over Taiwan, Tibet, trade, climate change, internet freedom and human rights which have poisoned relations in the three months since President Barack Obama made a fruitless visit to Beijing.
這一發現在戰鬥開始後,台灣、西藏、貿易、氣候變化、互聯網自由和人權,自奧巴馬總統作出了徒勞的北京訪問的3個月,它們已毒害彼此關係。
According to diplomatic sources, a rancorous postmortem examination is under way inside the US government, led by officials who think the president was badly advised and was made to appear weak.
據外交人士透露,一針鋒相對的屍檢正在美國政府內部進行中,由認為總統是被錯誤建議和被做到展現弱勢的官員領導。
In China’s eyes, the American response — which includes a pledge by Obama to get tougher on trade — is a reaction against its rising power.
在中國眼中,美國的反應 - 包括奧巴馬承諾會在貿易上 更強硬- 是一個反應針對其大國崛起。

Washington believes President Obama was made to appear weak
華盛頓認為奧巴馬總統是被做到展現弱勢


Now almost 55% of those questioned for Global Times, a state-run newspaper, agree that “a cold war will break out between the US and China”.

An independent survey of Chinese-language media for The Sunday Times has found army and navy officers predicting a military showdown and political leaders calling for China to sell more arms to America’s foes. The trigger for their fury was Obama’s decision to sell $6.4 billion (£4 billion) worth of weapons to Taiwan, the thriving democratic island that has ruled itself since 1949.
一項以中文媒體為星期日泰晤士報做的獨立調查,發現陸軍和海軍軍官預測,會有軍事攤牌和政治領導人呼籲中國出售更多武器給美國的敵人。他們憤怒的觸發點是奧巴馬決定出售64億美元(四十億英鎊)價值的武器給台灣,那蓬勃發展的民主島嶼自1949年以來統治本身。
“We should retaliate with an eye for an eye and sell arms to Iran, North Korea, Syria, Cuba and Venezuela,” declared Liu Menxiong, a member of the Chinese people’s political consultative conference.
“我們要以眼還眼報復,賣武器給伊朗,朝鮮,敘利亞,古巴和委內瑞拉,”中國人民政治協商會議的一個成員劉 民相宣布。
He added: “We have nothing to be afraid of. The North Koreans have stood up to America and has anything happened to them? No. Iran stands up to America and does disaster befall it? No.”
他補充:“我們沒有什麼可驚,朝鮮人已向美國站起來,他們有沒有什麼事發生?沒有;伊朗向美國站起來,有沒有災難降臨它呢?沒有“
Officially, China has reacted by threatening sanctions against American companies selling arms to Taiwan and cancelling military visits.
官方地中國已經作出反應,威脅制裁美國向台灣出售武器的公司,並取消軍事訪問。
But Chinese analysts think the leadership, riding a wave of patriotism as the year of the tiger dawns, may go further.

“This time China must punish the US,” said Major-General Yang Yi, a naval officer. “We must make them hurt.” A major-general in the People’s Liberation Army (PLA), Luo Yuan, told a television audience that more missiles would be deployed against Taiwan. And a PLA strategist, Colonel Meng Xianging, said China would “qualitatively upgrade” its military over the next 10 years to force a showdown “when we’re strong enough for a hand-to-hand fight with the US”.

Chinese indignation was compounded when the White House said Obama would meet the Dalai Lama, the exiled spiritual leader of Tibet, in the next few weeks.

“When someone spits on you, you have to get back,” said Huang Xiangyang, a commentator in the China Daily newspaper, usually seen as a showcase for moderate opinion.

An internal publication at the elite Qinghua University last week predicted the strains would get worse because “core interests” were at risk. It said battles over exports, technology transfer, copyright piracy and the value of China’s currency, the yuan, would be fierce.

As a crescendo of strident nationalistic rhetoric swirls through the Chinese media and blogosphere, American officials seem baffled by what has gone wrong and how fast it has happened.

During Obama’s visit, the US ambassador to China, Jon Huntsman, claimed relations were “really at an all-time high in terms of the bilateral atmosphere ... a cruising altitude that is higher than any other time in recent memory”, according to an official transcript.

The ambassador must have been the only person at his embassy to think so, said a diplomat close to the talks.

“The truth was that the atmosphere was cold and intransigent when the president went to Beijing yet his China team went on pretending that everything was fine,” the diplomat said.

In reality, Chinese officials argued over every item of protocol, rigged a town hall meeting with a pre-selected audience, censored the only interview Obama gave to a Chinese newspaper and forbade the Americans to use their own helicopters to fly him to the Great Wall.

President Hu Jintao refused to give an inch on Obama’s plea to raise the value of the Chinese currency, while his vague promises of co-operation on climate change led the Americans to blunder into a fiasco at the Copenhagen summit three weeks later.

Diplomats say they have been told that there was “frigid” personal chemistry between Obama and the Chinese president, with none of the superficial friendship struck up by previous leaders of the two nations.

Yet after their meeting Obama’s China adviser, Jeff Bader, said: “It’s been highly successful in setting out and accomplishing the objectives we set ourselves.”

Then came Copenhagen, where Obama virtually had to force his way with his bodyguards into a conference room where the urbane Chinese premier, Wen Jiabao, was trying to strike a deal behind his back.


The Americans were also livid at what they saw as deliberate Chinese attempts to humiliate the president by sending lower-level officials to deal with him.

“They thought Obama was weak and they were testing him,” said a European diplomat based in China.

In Beijing, some diplomats even claim to detect a condescending attitude towards Obama, noting that Yang Jiechi, the foreign minister, prides himself on knowing the Bush dynasty and others among America’s traditional white, Anglo-Saxon, Protestant elite.

But there are a few voices urging caution on Chinese public opinion. “China will look unreal if it behaves aggressively and competes for global leadership,” wrote Wang Yusheng, a retired diplomat, in the China Daily.

He warned that China was not as rich or as powerful as America or Japan and therefore such a move could be “hazardous”.

It is not clear whether anyone in Beijing is listening.
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/asia/article7017951.ece

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