波恩抑或爆裂 - 聯合國的最後、絕望的企圖尋求非民選的世界一政府
Bonn or bust – The UN’s last, desperate bid for unelected world government
The Viscount Monckton of Brenchley
SPPI Blog
April 10, 2010
There are not many empty seats in the dismal, echoing conference chamber in the ghastly concrete box that is the Hotel Maritim here in Bonn, where the UN’s latest attempt to maneuver the 194 States Parties to the Framework Convention on Climate Change gets underway today.
沒有很多空座位在暗淡而有回音的陰森混凝土箱會議室,在波恩這裡的海洋旅館,這裡聯合國的最新企圖去操縱 194個締約國家,今天進行氣候變化框架會議。
The “international community”, as it is now called, is here in full force, in the shape of expensively-suited, shiny-shod bureaucrats with an urbane manner and absolutely no knowledge of climate science whatsoever.
However, one empty chair is a pointer of things to come. The Holy See – a tiny nation in its own right, with a billion citizens around the world – has left its chair empty. And that is significant. If “global warming” still mattered, the Vatican would make sure that its representatives were present throughout this gloomy gathering of world-government wannabes.
但是,一張空椅子是要來東西的一個指針。羅馬教廷 - 一個小國在它自己的權利,有10億公民 在世界各地 - 遺下它的椅子是空的,和那是意義重大的。如果“全球變暖”仍然是重要的,梵蒂岡會確保它的代表出席,穿過這暗淡的世界政府崇拜者聚會。
This emergency conference, called by the UN’s bureaucrats because they were terrified that Cancun this December might fail as spectacularly as Copenhagen did last year, is a much quieter affair than Copenhagen. Not only has the air of triumphalism gone, after the scandals of Climategate, Himalayagate, Amazongate and so forth, but the belief that “global warming” is a global crisis has largely gone too.
這次緊急會議,由聯合國的官僚召開,因為他們害怕今年12月的坎昆可能會失敗,不像去年哥本哈根那樣壯觀,是一個比哥本哈根靜很多的事情。不僅空氣中的必勝信念已走,在醜聞如氣候門,冰川門、阿馬遜門等等後,但亦有“全球變暖”是一個全球性危機的信念已很大程度消失了。
There are a few true-believers left among the national delegates, but more of them than before are open to discussion of the previously-forbidden question – what if the climate extremists have made the whole thing up?
The Chinese Xinhua News Agency, for instance, came up to the table manned by the environmental campaigners of the Committee for a Constructive Tomorrow, which takes a hard-boiled, cynical view of the notion that a tiny increase in the atmospheric concentration of a trace gas is likely to cause a thousand international disasters.
The reporters were genuinely interested to hear that there is another side to the story. Huan Gongdi, the Agency’s senior correspondent in Germany, asked me what I thought of the Copenhagen accord (a waste of time), what was happening in Bonn (a desperate attempt to ram through a binding Treaty that can be put in front of the US Senate before the mid-term elections make Senate acceptance of any such treaty unthinkable), and whether or not there was a climate crisis anyway (there isn’t).
I explained to Mr. Huan that even if the UN had not exaggerated the warming effect of CO2 many times over there was still nothing we could do about the supposed “crisis”, because we were emitting so little of the stuff in the first place.
For the record, I did the sum in front of him. The atmospheric concentration of CO2 today is about 388 parts per million by volume. However, we are adding just 2 ppmv a year to the air. So the warming we cause each year, even if one believes the UN’s wild exaggerations of CO2’s warming effect, is just 4.7 times the natural logarithm of the proportionate increase in CO2 concentration from 388 to 390 ppmv.
Thus, 4.7 ln(390/388) = 0.043 Fahrenheit degrees – less than a twentieth of a Fahrenheit degree of “global warming” every year. That is all. Putting it another way, it would take almost a quarter of a century with no carbon-emitting activity at all – not a single train, plane, automobile, or fossil-fueled power station – to forestall just 1 Fahrenheit degree of “global warming”.
That is why no Treaty based on controlling the amount of carbon dioxide the world emits can possibly work. And that is why there is no hurry anyway. The only reason for the UN’s sense of urgency – a panic no longer felt by the majority of the delegates here – is that the bureaucrats know the game is up. Opinion polls throughout the free world show that no one now believes a word of the climate extremists’ nonsense any more. If they can’t get a binding treaty this year, they won’t get one at all, and they know it.
I shall be reporting frequently from the conference.
http://www.prisonplanet.com/bonn-or-bust-%e2%80%93-the-un%e2%80%99s-last-desperate-bid-for-unelected-world-government.html
哥本哈根埋的衝突波昂爆發 中國敦促發達國率先大幅減排
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