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2010年3月3日星期三

物理研究所咒罵氣候門者的“科學”

物理研究所咒罵氣候門者的“科學”
Institute of Physics damns the Climategaters’ “science”

Andrew Bolt
Saturday, February 27, 2010 at 12:31pm

The Institute of Physics, representing 36,000 members, submits a devastating assessment of Climategate to the British parliamentary inquiry into the scandal:
代表36,000個會員的物理研究所,提交了一份毀滅性的氣候門評估給英國議會醜聞調查 :

2. The CRU e-mails as published on the internet provide prima facie evidence of determined and co-ordinated refusals to comply with honourable scientific traditions and freedom of information law. The principle that scientists should be willing to expose their ideas and results to independent testing and replication by others, which requires the open exchange of data, procedures and materials, is vital…
2。CRU的電郵正如在互聯網上公佈的,提供堅定的初步證據和被協調的優先取捨權,去遵守科學的光榮傳統和信息自由的法律。科學家的原則應該是願意暴露自己的想法和結果,給獨立的測試和讓他人複製,這需要公開交換數據、程序和材料,是至關重要的...
3. It is important to recognise that there are two completely different categories of data set that are involved in the CRU e-mail exchanges:
3。它是重要去認識到,有兩種完全不同類別的數據集,涉及在CRU的電郵交流:
· those compiled from direct instrumental measurements of land and ocean surface temperatures such as the CRU, GISS and NOAA data sets; and
那些編制由直接的儀器測量土地和海洋表面溫度,如CRU,GiSS和NOAA數據集;及
· historic temperature reconstructions from measurements of ‘proxies’, for example, tree-rings.
·歷史性溫度的重建從測量'代理',例如,樹環。
4. The second category relating to proxy reconstructions are the basis for the conclusion that 20th century warming is unprecedented. Published reconstructions may represent only a part of the raw data available and may be sensitive to the choices made and the statistical techniques used. Different choices, omissions or statistical processes may lead to different conclusions. This possibility was evidently the reason behind some of the (rejected) requests for further information.
4。第二類別與代理重建相關的是結論的基礎,20世紀的氣候變暖是前所未有的。發布重建只可能代表一部分提供的原始數據,可能對已作的選擇和使用的統計技術敏感。不同的選擇,遺漏或統計過程可能會導致不同的結論。這種可能性顯然是(被拒)請求進一步資料背後的部分原因。
5. The e-mails reveal doubts as to the reliability of some of the reconstructions and raise questions as to the way in which they have been represented; for example, the apparent suppression, in graphics widely used by the IPCC, of proxy results for recent decades that do not agree with contemporary instrumental temperature measurements.

6. There is also reason for concern at the intolerance to challenge displayed in the e-mails. This impedes the process of scientific ‘self correction’, which is vital to the integrity of the scientific process as a whole, and not just to the research itself. In that context, those CRU e-mails relating to the peer-review process suggest a need for a review of its adequacy and objectivity as practised in this field and its potential vulnerability to bias or manipulation.

7. Fundamentally, we consider it should be inappropriate for the verification of the integrity of the scientific process to depend on appeals to Freedom of Information legislation. Nevertheless, the right to such appeals has been shown to be necessary. The e-mails illustrate the possibility of networks of like-minded researchers effectively excluding newcomers...

This submission in effect warns that this recent warming may not be unprecedented, after all, and those that claim it is may have been blinded by bias or simply fiddled their results and suppressed dissent.
這呈遞實際上提出警告,這個最近的變暖可能不是空前的,畢竟,那些聲稱它是空前的,可能已被偏見蒙敝,或只是擺弄著他們的結果和壓制不同意見。
I’ll repeat: Climategate reveals the greatest scientific scandal of our lifetime.
我將重複:氣候門,揭示那在我們有生之年的最巨大的科學醜聞
http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/institute_of_physics_
damns_the_climategaters_science#67690

'氣候門'教授承認隱瞞資料
'Climategate' professor admits to withholding information

The professor at the centre of the 'climategate' row, has admitted sending 'some pretty awful' emails refusing to send information on to other scientists.
在'氣候門'爭吵中心的教授',已承認發送'一些幾可怕的'電郵,拒絕咗發送資料給其他科學家。
By Louise Gray, Environment Correspondent
Published: 7:30AM GMT 02 Mar 2010
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/environment/climatechange/7347658/Climategate-professor-admits-to-withholding-information.html

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