牛津研究小組結論：以色列攻擊伊朗將開始長久之戰

牛津研究小組結論：以色列攻擊伊朗將開始長久之戰
Oxford Research Group Concludes Israeli Attack On Iran Would Start Long War
Tyler Durden
Zero Hedge
July 15, 2010

One wonders how many Ph.D. were consulted in the preparation of this report. Yet aside from the glaringly obvious, there are some other interesting observations. “An Israeli attack on Iran would be the start of a protracted conflict that would be unlikely to prevent the eventual acquisition of nuclear weapons by Iran and might even encourage it. Long-range strike aircraft acquired from the United States, combined with an improved fleet of tanker aircraft, the deployment of long-range drones and the probable availability of support facilities in northeast Iraq and Azerbaijan, all increase Israel’s potential for action against Iran.” According to the report, it might take three to seven years for Iran to develop a small arsenal of nuclear weapons if it decided to do so.
人想知道有多少博士生在準備這份報告時磋商，然而除了有目共睹，還有其它一些有趣的觀察。 “以色列襲擊伊朗將開始一個長期的衝突，將不可能阻止伊朗最終獲得核武器，和可能甚至鼓勵了它。從美國獲得的遠程攻擊機，結合一改進的空中加油機機隊，遠程無人駕駛飛機的部署和可能在伊拉克東北部和阿塞拜疆的支援設施提供，在在增加以色列對付伊朗的潛在行動。“根據報告，但可能需要3至7年讓伊朗發展小型核武庫，如果它決定這樣做。
Also, the report wisely states that an Israeli strike would be focused not only on destroying nuclear and missile targets but would also hit factories and research centers and even university laboratories to damage Iranian expertise. Shockingly, this would cause many civilian casualties. Oxford believes Iran’s retaliation would include withdrawing from the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and the production of nuclear weapons to deter further attacks. Other recourse would include missile attacks on Israel, closing the Strait of Hormuz to push up oil prices and paramilitary or missile attacks on Western oil facilities in the Gulf. Fun bedside reading.
此外，報告明智地指出，一以色列的攻擊將不僅集中在摧毀核和導彈目標，但亦將擊中工廠和研究中心，及甚至大學的實驗室以損害伊朗的專業知識。令人震驚的是，這將導致許多平民傷亡。牛津相信伊朗的報復將包括退出核不擴散條約和生產核武器，以阻嚇進一步的攻擊。其它申訴將包括導彈襲擊以色列，關閉霍爾木茲海峽以推高油價，和準軍事或導彈襲擊西方在海灣的石油設施。趣味的床頭閱讀。
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