Amateur weatherman predicts January could be the coldest since 1740
December 02, 2010
Translation by Autumnson Blog
Amateur weatherman Harry Kershaw says this could be the coldest January for 270 years業餘天氣預報員哈利克肖說，這可能是 270年來最冷的1月份
Britain should be prepared for more snow chaos according to a local forecaster who believes January could be the coldest in 270 years.
英國應要準備好更多的雪混亂，據一本地氣象預報員他相信一月份可能是270年來最冷的。
Amateur weatherman Harry Kershaw, 84, from Sale, correctly predicted that last winter would be similar to the 1979 Winter of Discontent.
來自沙奧的84歲業餘氣象預報員哈里克肖，正確地預測去年的冬天會類似1979年的不滿冬天。
Now he believes the coming January could be as bad as in 1740, when the Thames froze in London and daytime temperatures failed to rise above -9C.
現在他相信，明年1月可能有如1740年一樣糟糕，當時倫敦的泰晤士河結冰，和白天氣溫未能上升至-9C以上。
He said: "Between August and October the weather seemed to be the same as 1986, which was followed by the coldest January since 1740.
他說：“八月至十月之間，天氣似乎是與1986年相同，那被自1740年以來最冷的一月份跟隨。
"I believe the last three weeks of January and the first week of February next year could be the coldest we’ve had for 270 years."
“我相信下年一月份的最後三週和二月份的第一週，可能是我們270年來已有最冷的。”
Harry, who began forecasting as a merchant seaman, uses a system developed by the German army during the Second World War known as ‘similarity forecasting'.
He matches conditions with those of previous years and then predicts that future weather will follow a similar pattern – often with uncanny accuracy.
In early 2007, his predictions of a miserable summer were at odds with official forecasts, but he was right. He also warned of wet weather last year when the Met Office told us to prepare for a ‘barbecue summer’
Harry says there have been similarities between August and November with the conditions before the bad winter of 1987, such as matches in the Atlantic weather maps.
The January of 1987 was the worst since 1740, when it was so cold that pigs were roasted at a fair on the frozen Thames.
Harry believes the current cold spell will last until about December 7, when the weather will start to get milder. He believes Christmas Day could be wet. He added: ""I’m looking forward to seeing if I'm right. If my forecast is correct it shows that this is a good system and should be looked at carefully."
http://menmedia.co.uk/manchestereveningnews/news/s/1387888_amateur_weatherman_predicts_january_could_be_the_coldest_since_1740
'記錄上最暖的年份'發生什麼事：真相是全球變暖已經停止
投機警報：“新的小冰河期不能排除“
沒有留言:
發佈留言