Iran’s Uranium Deal a Serious Blow to War Party
Can Obama Still Use Third Party Enrichment Deal as Excuse for Sanctions?
奧巴馬仍能否用第三方濃縮交易為藉口作制裁？
by Jason Ditz, May 17, 2010
In a move that will likely drive a stake into the heart of the near-term prospects for the US-backed “crippling sanctions” against Iran, Turkey and Brazil have managed to come up with a compromise deal that provides everything the Western nations claimed to have wanted from the third-party enrichment deal in the first place.
在一次舉動將可能驅使一個賭注，進入美國支持針對伊朗的“跛腳制裁”的近期前景的心臟，土耳其和巴西已設法想出一個折衷協議，提供一切東西西方國家在首位聲稱一直想從第三方濃縮協議要的。
The deal was announced last night but details were only made available this morning. According to the announcement, Iran will ship 1,200 kg of its 3.5% enriched uranium to Turkey, exactly the amount sought in the P5+1 enrichment deal, and will receive fuel rods for its medical reactor one year later, again the amount of time given in the P5+1 deal.
協議在昨晚宣布，但細節只能在今天上午提供。根據宣布，伊朗將船運1,200公斤它的3.5％濃縮鈾到土耳其，正是在P5+1濃縮協議尋求的數額，和一年後將會獲得燃料棒給予它的醫療反應堆，再次是在P5+1濃縮協議要求的數量。
Though the inclusion of Turkey is a new rub, everything else about the deal seems to be designed to be verbatim to the P5+1 deal in October, which the Obama Administration has repeatedly demanded Iran sign.
Iran’s problem with the initial deal with the use of France as an intermediary, as France has previously reneged on nuclear deals with Iran and was not trusted by many in the government, who thought they might simply make off with Iran’s stockpile.
Turkey on the other hand is an incredibly inconvenient intermediary for the war party, because they are simultaneously a key US-NATO ally in good standing and have trustworthy relations with Iran. Turkey would be obligated to return Iran’s uranium if the West fails to provide the fuel rods, and could likely be trusted to do so.
As Iran has now accepted the deal, President Obama will struggle to back out of it without doing serious damage both to his international reputation and to US-Turkey relations.
由於伊朗已經接受協議，奧巴馬總統將難以不支持，免致嚴重損害他的國際聲譽，和美國與土耳其的關係。
Western diplomats however suggested they would attempt to do just that, claiming that the 1,200 kg is no longer sufficient because, six months later, Iran has a slightly larger stockpile of low enriched uranium. This seems little more than a rhetorical obstacle, however, as the remainder of the low enriched uranium is bound for a Russian-built nuclear power plant in southern Iran.
Iran has been attempting to produce 20% enriched uranium itself in an effort to create the fuel rods for several months, but has suggested that it will stop that higher level of enrichment if a deal emerges to give it access to the fuel rods to create badly needed medical isotopes.
http://news.antiwar.com/2010/05/17/irans-uranium-deal-a-serious-blow-to-war-party/
中國、委內瑞拉歡迎伊朗核宣報
希拉里：大國已就制裁伊朗達成一致
沒有留言:
發佈留言